It is Friday, Aug. 19, and MLB fans are in for a great weekend of baseball. All in all, there are 15 games and every MLB team is in action, and if there is a game you are excited about, BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000. This article will have the best picks according to Stokastic models to give you the best chance to win. With so many games going on, OddsShopper can help find all of the best MLB betting picks, giving helpful tips for making MLB bets today.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Jameson Taillon O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Jameson Taillon faces the Toronto Blue Jays lineup tonight in the Bronx. Taillon has a 20.6% strikeout rate and averages 0.85 strikeouts per inning, so it would take six innings on average to get to five strikeouts. He has gone over six innings in four of his last six starts. He has pitched to Toronto four times this year and has 22 strikeouts in 22 innings. Toronto has the seventh-lowest strikeout rate in baseball, but Taillon has a good track record and has gone deep enough into games lately to make going over this total more likely than it is not.
Best MLB Pick Today: Jameson Taillon OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)
Matt Manning O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Matt Manning faces the Los Angeles Angels, and he has just a 16.2% strikeout rate and a 4.73 xFIP, putting him at risk of getting blown up. And though the Angels have the highest strikeout rate in baseball, Manning would have to pitch 7.1 innings to reach five strikeouts. He has had two good starts in a row, but he also struck out one batter in five innings against the Twins. The small sample size and the high xFIP make the under more intriguing than the over.
Best MLB Pick Today: Matt Manning UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (-110)
Jesus Luzardo O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Jesus Luzardo faces the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. Luzardo has a 31.4% strikeout rate and averages 1.26 strikeouts per inning. At first glance, it would seem as if going over 5.5 strikeouts would be a no-brainer; however, the Dodgers are in the middle of the league in strikeout rate (22.5%) and have the eighth-best wRC+ against left-handed pitchers. In August starts, Luzardo has averaged one strikeout per inning, and going six innings against the Dodgers seems unlikely tonight.
Best MLB Pick Today: Jesus Luzardo UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts (+105)
Albert Pujols O/U 0.5 Home Runs | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Albert Pujols O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Albert Pujols faces Tommy Henry tonight. Pujols has a .451 wOBA and a .338 ISO against left-handed pitching this season. At this point, it is difficult to not bet on Pujols going yard since he has been doing so pretty regularly. It is also difficult to not like the over on his total bases prop too, even though he may get only one or two plate appearances against this pitcher.
Best MLB Pick Today: Albert Pujols OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+450); Albert Pujols OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
