There are just eight MLB games going on, six of which are happening during the day. Tonight, there are just two games, including the Field of Dreams Game in Dyersville, Iowa, between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs. If watching some baseball today, BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000 — a perfect way to get in on some of the best MLB prop bets today.
This article will have the best picks according to Stokastic models to give you the best chance to win. With so many games going on, OddsShopper can help find all of the best MLB betting picks, giving helpful tips for making MLB bets today.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks
Zach Plesac O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Zach Plesac is pitching to the Detroit Tigers, and he has a 17.6% strikeout rate and averages 0.77 strikeouts per inning. On average, it would take him 6.2 innings to strike out five batters. Going against Detroit should be a boost to Plesac’s strikeouts, as they have the fourth-highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers (24.8%).
Best MLB Pick Today: Zach Plesac OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)
Framber Valdez O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Framber Valdez and his 21.7% strikeout rate will face the in-state rival Rangers. Averaging 0.89 strikeouts per inning, it would take eight innings for him to reach seven strikeouts in a game. He has gone over this total in 8 of 21 starts this season.
Texas has the eighth-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers (23.5%). However, even though that should provide a boost to Valdez’s strikeouts, it is more likely he will stay under, despite the fact he had seven strikeouts in his last outing against the Rangers back in May.
Best MLB Pick Today: Framber Valdez UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (+100)
Cole Ragans O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Cole Ragans is pitching to the Astros in the second major league start of his career. Against the White Sox, he pitched five innings and had three strikeouts. That said, the White Sox have the 17th-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers (22.2%). Houston, on the other hand, has the lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers in all of baseball (18.2%). Being able to take the under at plus odds is a gift.
Best MLB Pick Today: Cole Ragans UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (+115)
Dylan Cease O/U 7.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Dylan Cease faces the Kansas City Royals today. Cease has a 32.8% strikeout rate and averages 1.35 strikeouts per inning, so to get to eight strikeouts, he would have to pitch six innings on average. The Royals have the 20th-highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers (21.9%). Cease has also pitched to Kansas City twice this season and struck them out nine times in each start. The first start was 6.0 innings, while the second start was 5.2 innings. He has gone over this total in 14 of 22 starts this season as well.
Best MLB Pick Today: Dylan Cease OVER 7.5 Strikeouts (+108)
Franmil Reyes O/U 0.5 Home Runs | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Franmil Reyes is having a really bad season, with a .257 OBP, a 36.8% strikeout rate and a .133 ISO. He was DFA’d by the Cleveland Guardians and is now on the Chicago Cubs. However, in his career, Reyes has a .204 ISO against left-handed pitchers. Nick Lodolo allows 1.47 HR/9, which makes him someone to target for home run props. The game is at the Field of Dreams in Iowa, and perhaps there will be some magic for Reyes there.
Best MLB Pick Today: Franmil Reyes OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+390)
Yordan Alvarez O/U 0.5 Home Runs | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Yordan Alvarez busted out of his slump last night with a home run, and taking him to hit one again is not a bad idea against a rookie pitcher in Ragans. Even though Alvarez will be in a lefty-lefty matchup to start, he has a .391 wOBA and .287 ISO against lefties. He also has a .451 wOBA and .364 ISO against righties, but even the downgrade for lefties is better than the vast majority of major league players.
Best MLB Pick Today: Yordan Alvarez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+350)
