Friday’s slate on the diamond provides some interesting pitching matchups, with a couple pitting proven stars against fresh arms. That means value! Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for today’s action with the best NRFI picks for Friday, Aug. 5.
Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Picks 8/5
Braves at Mets Pick | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
This play comes down to whether or not Ian Anderson can hold off the Mets bats. It’s not an easy task, as New York averages 0.84 runs per first inning (RPFI) at home — best in all of baseball. Anderson enters with a weak strikeout rate of 20% and an ERA of 4.99, but he is coming off his strongest start in months. The Braves righty also hasn’t surrendered a first inning run on the road over four straight starts. The last one he gave up was at Coors Field. The Mets will counter with Taijuan Walker, who leads a team that only gives up 0.29 RPFI at home.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Braves at Mets NRFI (-115 BetMGM)
White Sox at Rangers | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Once again, the target lies on the “other” pitcher tonight in this game, as any NRFI play rests on the hopes of Glenn Otto for Texas. Otto takes the hill at home, where he’s only given up a first inning run in one of his last five starts. Dylan Cease gets the nod on the other side and has been cruising all season. Texas is league average at best, scoring 0.54 RPFI at home. Life is a little harder when Cease comes to town, but don’t expect fireworks from the White Sox, who have a 0.47 RPFI average on the road.
Best NRFI Bet Today: White Sox vs. Rangers NRFI (-125 BetMGM)
Astros vs. Guardians Pick | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Making a major league debut has enough stress in its own right, but taking on the Astros compounds it even further. Hunter Gaddis debuts against the hot-hitting Astros, who are also an opportunistic team in the first inning. Houston is one of baseball’s best, with a 0.59 RPFI average on the road, and it should be aggressive against Gaddis. Framber Valdez gets the start for Houston; ice cold in the veins early on, Valdez surrendered a first inning run in just 1 of 10 road starts all season. There’s an uphill battle for the Guardians, but they are scoring 0.63 RPFI at home — creating and taking advantage of scoring chances.
Best NRFI Bet Today: Astros vs. Guardians YRFI (-110 BetMGM)