We round the corner to Wednesday where a 15-game MLB slate layered with player prop values awaits. With plenty of volatility between the lines thankfully, BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000! Simply signup and make your first deposit at BetMGM to designate your risk-free wager and if your selection falls short of the cash line, you’ll automatically be granted a future wager of equal value at your discretion with no further commitments. With games beginning as early as 12:35 p.m. ET, let’s delve into the best MLB player prop bets today.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Expert Betting Picks 9/14
Charlie Morton O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Charlie Morton has had a remarkable 15th season with a 28.3% strikeout rate and faces the strikeout-heavy San Francisco Giants today. He averages 1.18 strikeouts per inning and 5.2 innings pitched per start, pacing him for 6.65 strikeouts tonight at those current rates. San Francisco has a 23.4% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season while leading the league over the past 30 days with a 27% strikeout rate against the split. Morton is expected to face five hitters in the Giants order with upward of a 20% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching and should serve through the rotation at least two times before we start seeing pinched hitters (or Morton making an unexpected early exit). Morton has thrown seven or more strikeouts in five of his past seven starts including 12 strikeouts against a lethal New York Mets batting order. Gaining a plus-money advantage to boot, Morton’s strikeout prop etches itself as one of Wednesday’s best MLB betting picks today.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Charlie Morton OVER 6.5 Total Strikeouts (+115)
A.J. Pollock O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
A.J. Pollock has ripped left-handed pitching this season and faces Kyle Freeland at home in Guaranteed Rate Field today. Pollock has a .305 batting average, 1.006 OPS and .362 ISO with 10 of his 11 home runs against lefty pitchers in 2022. Freeland has allowed a 42.7% hard-contact rate and 9.9% barrel rate while striking out just 15.9% of right-handed hitters with a .267 average against and 4.42 xFIP.
If Pollock’s need for two bases on hits is too lofty a wager for your taste, BetMGM is offering a RISK FREE BET up to $1,000! Should Pollock whiff on the total bases necessary, you’ll have your bet matched dollar-for-dollar on a future bet of your preference. Pollock has produced multi-hit performances over two of his past four starts including a double, while Freeland has surrendered seven or more hits in four of his past six outings. A nickel up on even-money odds, Pollock’s total bases prop offers moderate value in a worthwhile matchup for his profile.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: A.J. Pollock OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Anthony Santander O/U 0.5 HRs | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Anthony Santander has hit for power against opposing left-handed pitchers with nine home runs and faces Patrick Corbin tonight. Corbin has allowed a 45.5% hard-contact rate and 11.5% barrel rate this season. Facing right-handed hitters, Corbin has surrendered a .325 average against, 1.94 home runs per nine innings with 24 home runs and a .260 ISO. Santander has earned a .248 ISO and 19.6% home run to fly ball rate against left-handed pitchers in 2022. With seven home runs over the past month by Santander, by contrast, Corbin has allowed at least one home run over his past seven starts and 16 in a row against right-handed hitters including Santander himself. At considerable plus-money odds, slinging a unit on Santander to go yard tonight is a value not to be ignored.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Anthony Santander OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Justin Turner O/U 0.5 HRs | RISK FREE BET from BetMGM
Justin Turner has mashed right-handed pitching and enters a matchup with Zach Davies tonight. Turner has a .277 batting average and .191 ISO with 10 home runs against right-handed pitching this season. Over the past 30 days, Turner has dominated with a 1.02 OPS, .257 ISO and five home runs, with four of those coming against right-handed pitchers. Davies has a 1.59 HR/9 and 15.7% HR/FB rate against right-handed hitting this season with a home run allowed in four of his past six starts, three of them being surrendered to righties. Should Davies get the early hook from the mound, Turner draws a Diamondbacks bullpen allowing 1.08 HR/9 to add further incentive. Getting 4-to-1 returns on investment to plant another in the seats against a prime right-handed target, a dart toss on Turner’s home run prop is a considerable value. (The odds have already moved down from +425 since writing this, so move quickly before the value diminishes further.)
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Justin Turner OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
