A 15-game MLB slate awaits on Wednesday as playoff tensions remain high with October around the corner. Given the bevy of player prop options to consider, thankfully a mulligan is in store as BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000! If you have yet to already, signup and make your first deposit at BetMGM to designate your preferred risk-free bet. If the selection happens to fall short of cashing out, you’ll be matched dollar-for-dollar at no further commitments to you. Let’s round the corner of the midweek and get to the best value player props on the day.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Expert Betting Picks 9/21
Lance McCullers Jr. O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | RISK FREE BET
Lance McCullers Jr. has returned to form and faces the Tampa Bay Rays tonight. McCullers has finally cut the leash off since returning from injury earlier in August, exceeding 97 pitches in each of his past three starts. He is averaging 1.06 strikeouts per inning along with just over 5.2 innings pitched per start, lending to an expected pace of 6.12 strikeouts tonight at his current rates. The Tampa Bay Rays have a 23.7% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching and are expected to assign six hitters to their order with upward of a 22% strikeout rate against the split. McCullers has achieved five or more strikeouts in five of his six starts since returning from injury rehab this season. Though the Astros have already clinched the American League West division, they’re still in contention for baseball’s best record and a feasible strikeout total for McCullers at moderate house juice makes for one of the best MLB betting picks today.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Lance McCullers Jr. OVER 4.5 Total Strikeouts (-139)
Nathaniel Lowe O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET
Nathaniel Lowe has been effective against left-handed pitching all season and squares off with Tucker Davidson tonight. Lowe has a .341 batting average, .944 OPS and .212 ISO against southpaws in 2022 with just a 17.9% strikeout rate. Davidson has allowed a 39% hard-contact rate while earning 1.93 home runs per nine innings, a 1.71 WHIP and 8.25 FIP against left-handed hitting this season, striking out just 9.1% of them.
If the total bases prop on Lowe is too risky for you, BetMGM is offering a RISK FREE BET up to $1,000! If Lowe happens to miss the mark on gaining two bases on hits, you’ll be matched with an equal value bet of your choice with no strings attached. Over the past month, Lowe has continued his reverse splits contact with a .373 batting average, .909 OPS and 167 wRC+ including a home run. Though he’s cooled off over his past two starts, the considerable plus-money odds to reach upward of two bases in a suitable matchup for Lowe is a worthwhile value prop for Wednesday.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Nathaniel Lowe OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Jake Fraley O/U 0.5 HRs | RISK FREE BET
Jake Fraley has been one of few bright spots for the Reds with 10 home runs and tonight he faces Connor Seabold. Fraley has a .275 batting average, .871 OPS and .235 ISO against right-handed pitching this season, including nine of his home runs against them. In the past month, he has bolstered that effectiveness with a .221 ISO and four home runs against the split. Though Seabold has yet to allow a home run to lefties in a limited sample size this season, he’s allowed a 41.9% hard-contact rate, 11.6% barrel rate and a .500 average against left-handed hitting including a .429 ISO. At over 3.5-to-1 returns on investment, a unit wagered on Fraley to blast another home run in a fitting matchup is worth the mild risk.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Jake Fraley OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+360)
Mookie Betts O/U 1.5 Total Bases | RISK FREE BET
Mookie Betts has dominated left-handed pitching this season and draws Madison Bumgarner at home tonight. Betts has a .321 batting average, 1.03 OPS and .321 ISO against lefty pitchers this season including 11 doubles and 10 home runs. Bumgarner has been ripped by right-handed hitting for a .294 average against, 1.61 HR/9 and .228 ISO with 21 home runs surrendered against the split. Over the past month, Betts has merely padded those stats against left-handed pitching with a .316 batting average, 1.22 OPS and .526 ISO with two home runs. In the same span, Bumgarner has allowed a .333 average against, 1.71 WHIP and six home runs against right-handed hitters. While the spend up here is a tad steep, the matchup is too inviting to ignore for Mookie to do what he does best.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Mookie Betts OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-134)
