Thursday in the MLB has spread out games all over the day. This parlay is created to look into most of the evening games, giving you plenty of time to get this into your sportsbook. The MLB season is coming to an end soon, so let’s try to get another one of these big parlays to hit as we move closer and closer to the MLB postseason. This piece will use the OddsShopper MLB Parlay Builder paired with the Stokastic MLB projections to make the best MLB picks and parlays today.
MLB Picks and Parlays Today 9/22
Johnny Cueto O/U 2.5 Strikeouts | RISK FREE BET
The Cleveland Guardians are starting to pull away in the AL Central division as they now lead the White Sox by six games after winning back-to-back games in this matchup. It is crunch time if the White Sox want any chance to make the playoffs this season and they will send veteran right-hander Johnny Cueto to the mound in hopes of a big victory tonight. In his first season with the White Sox, Cueto has a 3.09 ERA, which is his best since the 2016 season. His velocity and strikeout rate has dipped considerably over the years as he has a career-low 15.4% rate this season. Despite the incredibly low rate, this strikeout prop line of 2.5 is extremely low for a starting pitcher. The Guardians have the league’s lowest strikeout rate, but Cueto has accumulated three or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight starts. Stokastic projects Cueto for 3.6 strikeouts in this matchup, which is a full strikeout more than the line. A great value to start off our MLB parlay tonight.
Best MLB Pick Today: Johnny Cueto OVER 2.5 Strikeouts (-155)
Rays vs. Blue Jays Total O/U 8.0 Runs | RISK FREE BET
This four-game series between the Rays and Blue Jays will likely indicate playoff positions for the American League wild-card. The Blue Jays lead by two games as they have Jose Berrios taking the mound. It has been a tough season for Berrios, who has a 4.99 ERA, which is the highest since his rookie season. He has paired that with a 1.38 WHIP and a 19.8% strikeout rate, however, he is dialed in right now. Over his last six starts, Berrios is 3-0 and has allowed 12 earned runs in 36.2 innings pitched. In two previous matchups against the Rays, he allowed three earned runs in 12.1 innings pitched. The Rays will counter with JT Chargois, who is starting just his third game this season. He has a very impressive 2.76 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. These are two very solid pitchers, which provides a great lean to this under total runs prop. Five of the last seven games in this matchup have gone under eight runs. Big games usually result in lower totals and this is a big game and series starting tonight.
Best MLB Pick Today: Total UNDER 8.0 Runs (-115)
Orioles vs. Astros | RISK FREE BET
Enough picking against the Astros. Even when they are almost guaranteed the No. 1 overall seed and have already clinched the AL West division, the Astros are still competing at a high level. They just swept the Rays and have won 10 of their last 11 games. In all but one of those 10 wins, the Astros won by two or more runs, which is exactly what we are looking for tonight with this bet. These two teams are going in opposite directions as the Orioles just lost a home series to the second-worst team in the American League and have lost 10 of their last 16 games with no playoff aspirations. The pitching matchup also greatly favors the Astros, as they will start Justin Verlander, who leads the team with 17 wins and a league-leading 1.78 ERA. Also, 15 of the Astros’ 17 wins with Verlander on the mound have been by two or more runs. He has been limited lately, but this offense is still clicking on all cylinders. They have a chance to be the second team in the league to 100 wins this season and it’s hard to bet against them. So we’ll take the Astros and keep it moving.
Best MLB Pick Today: Astros -1.5 (-105)
Jameson Taillon O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | RISK FREE BET
The last prop and the only prop that has juice on the over features Jameson Taillon and his 4.5 strikeout prop. Most of the attention and publicity will be around Aaron Judge and his home run record, but getting in on this Taillon prop is another reason to watch the Yankees game tonight. They host the Red Sox and are -152 favorites, as the Red Sox are only implied for 3.7 runs. While the Red Sox are staring elimination in the face, this is still a rivalry game so expect it to be competitive. Taillon leads the Yankees in wins with 13, which is one shy of his career high. He also has above a 20% strikeout rate for the fifth time in his six-year career. The strikeout numbers for Taillon come sporadically. One game he will have eight and the next he will only have two. Given that he has shown the upside to get over five or more strikeouts makes this one of the best props on the slate given how much juice comes along with it. Stokastic projects Taillon for 4.8 strikeouts in this matchup as he will likely capture his 14th win of the season.
Best MLB Pick Today: Jameson Taillon OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)
