The Los Angeles Clippers and Golden State Warriors will face off Wednesday night at Chase Center. The Clippers beat the Jazz 121-114 on Monday and have a three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the Warriors are coming off an embarrassing 45-point loss to the Pelicans. The Warriors are 8-10, including 7-1 at home. The Clippers are 11-7 and 5-3 on the road. Using data and other tools, below are the top Clippers-Warriors predictions and picks. Be sure to visit the OddsShopper tool for more NBA best bets and odds.
Best Clippers-Warriors Predictions & Odds
This line opened with Golden State as 6-point home favorites, and strong money is on the Warriors, moving the line to -9. The total opened at 223 and moved up 0.5 points to 223.5. The Clippers are without Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and Luke Kennard for tonight’s game. The Warriors have no key injuries to report.
Warriors Love Home Cooking
The Warriors are still struggling to find their identity, as their 8-10 record shows. They are 7-1 at home but just 1-9 on the road, though they are 5-3 in their last eight games. Golden State is fifth in the league in scoring at home with 120.5 points per game while only scoring 111.9 on the road.
Golden State is 17th in adjusted offensive rating, 20th in adjusted defensive rating and 23rd in overall adjusted rating. Its record against the spread at home is 5-3 and 4-4 on totals. While this is a team known for offense and no defense, the Warriors are 4-0 to the under in their last four home games (6-2-1 to the under in their last nine).
Clippers Injury Woes Continue
The Clippers got off to a slow start this year, going 2-4, but they have gone 9-3 in their last 12. The record has been helped by a 26th-ranked schedule, including wins against the Rockets (3), Lakers (2) and Spurs (2). They are 30th in adjusted offensive rating, second in adjusted defensive rating and 20th overall.
The Clippers are 2-6 to the under in eight road games and 16 out of their last 20 (7-2 on the road). They are just 2-6 against the spread in the first half on the road. In order for the Clippers to have any chance of competing tonight, they will have to employ the slow pace and hope to frustrate the Warriors.
Final Clippers-Warriors Prediction & Pick
The Clippers have played low-scoring games all year with their strong defense and slow-paced offense. Now they are without three key starters tonight, and scoring will be even more of a challenge. The Warriors have been killers at home, even sporting the third-best defensive rating at home for a team not known for it.
All of the trends point to the under in this game. The Warriors -5 in the first half is a better play than the full-game spread, as the starters should see a full complement of minutes. If they have a huge lead down the stretch, Steve Kerr could end up resting his starters, leaving the backdoor option for the Clippers to cover the full-game spread.
Final Clippers-Warriors Prediction: UNDER 223.5 (DraftKings -110)
Warriors -5 First Half (DraftKings -105)
