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Best PrizePicks NBA Props: Temper Expectations for Terry Rozier as a Playmaker

After a jam-packed day of football yesterday, the NBA returns tonight with its regularly scheduled programming. There are eight games on deck including a couple of enticing matchups, like the ones between the Clippers and Hornets, and the 76ers and Rockets. The up-and-coming Oklahoma City Thunder are also set to take on the Atlanta Hawks in what should be a competitive contest between two of the best backcourts in the league. Below, bettors can check out some of the best NBA player props and bets to make over on PrizePicks, along with some analysis for each pick.

NBA Player Props PrizePicks Dec. 5

Terry Rozier under 6 Assists

While “Scary Terry” is a solid player, he should never be mistaken as one of the league’s top playmaking guards. On the season, Rozier is averaging 5.7 assists per game. He played in nine November games last month and he recorded 7 or more assists in just two of them. He will be without LaMelo Ball once again tonight, a factor that has historically negatively affected his assist numbers. Over the course of last season and this season Rozier has played in 15 games without Ball, and he has recorded 7 or more assists in just four of those fifteen. Tonight, the Hornets will face the Clippers who allow just 24 assists per game, the 9th-fewest in the NBA. Using the OddsShopper tools, bettors will find that numerous books have this line set at over/under 6.5 assists, with the “under” listed at -155 with a 64% chance to win.

Josh Giddey under 6.5 Assists

Giddey is one of the most exciting young players in the league today. He is talented in all facets of the game, and it looks as if he will be a huge piece of Oklahoma City’s plans moving forward. However, this assist line is simply too high. On the season, Giddey is averaging 5.6 assists per game. He’s played 20 games this season and has had 7 or more assists in just six of those games, which means the under on this prop is hitting at a 70% rate this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in the lineup for the Thunder tonight which has historically lowered Giddey’s assist numbers up to this point in his career. In 15 career games without S.G.A., Giddey has recorded 7.7 assists per game. That number falls to 5.8 assists per game in the 59 games that they’ve both played in. Tonight, the Thunder are set to square-up with the Atlanta Hawks, who are giving up just 24 assists per game. That’s the 10th-fewest assists per game allowed to opposing teams this season. Using the OddsShopper tools, bettors will find that this bet is listed at -130 on DraftKings with a 54% chance to win.

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