The Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the Memphis Grizzlies in Tennessee tonight, and they’re 4-point underdogs for the matchup. With the total set to a slate-high 234 points, the books expect a high-scoring contest. Bettors should tail the following Timberwolves-Grizzlies prop bet or check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best Timberwolves-Grizzlies Prop Bet | Nov. 11
Jaden McDaniels O/U 12.5 Points + Rebounds
The Minnesota Timberwolves won’t have backup center Naz Reid tonight. He already missed Wednesday’s game with an illness and won’t suit up for the Timberwolves in this spot. His absence on Wednesday led to Jaden McDaniels getting 38 minutes, which he turned into 24 points and eight rebounds. Even more impressively, McDaniels posted those numbers against the Phoenix Suns.
The books have seemingly left this prop unadjusted despite Reid’s absence. McDaniels has been averaging 11.1 points and 3.4 rebounds per game this year. Reid has missed three games this season, and McDaniels went over this number in two of those contests. He racked up 25 points and rebounds when Reid sat against the Thunder but only seven when Reid sat against the Lakers. Still, his averages improve to 16.3 points and 5.0 rebounds per game without Reid.
The Grizzlies aren’t a perfect matchup for McDaniels, but they aren’t a tough enough opponent to warrant fading this prop. The Grizzlies rank a reasonable 16th in pace and rank 18th in points allowed to power forwards (20.2). The Grizzlies have also given up the 13th-most made shots per game from the restricted area (18.1) and the eighth most from the non-restricted paint (7.5), which is where McDaniels takes most of his shots.
Best Timberwolves-Grizzlies Prop: Jaden McDaniels OVER 12.5 Points + Rebounds (-125 for 1.25 Units) at DraftKings
