With 11 games on the NBA slate, there are hundreds of possible NBA player props to bet, and finding the best value is a little easier with so many options.
Thanks to Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro, the hard work is done for bettors to reveal that value. With a large slate on Wednesday and another one coming Friday, now is a great time to get a free three-day trial of the product.
On Wednesday, this article will look toward three player props which have the highest-projected ROI.
Today’s Top NBA Player Props
Nick Richards O/U 5.5 Rebounds
The Hornets take on the Nets Wednesday, where Nick Richards hopes to continue his rebounding ways. His prop at DraftKings is set for 5.5, but OddsShopper’s projections have him pegged for 7.5 rebounds tonight. That comes out to an expected win percentage of 64%. While it’s somewhat expensive at -150, the bet comes with a 7% ROI.
Richards is averaging 6.8 rebounds on the year but has been hitting 50%, covering the total 12 in 24 games. He’s coming off a 10-rebound game his last time out against the Clippers on Monday.
Bet: Richards Over 5.5 Rebounds (-150) on DraftKings
Zion Williamson O/U 5.5 Assists
The Pelicans host the Pistons, and Zion Williamson’s assists present good value. Williamson’s season average is 4.3, so bettors taking this under are hoping he just hits his season mark. He’s finished under 5.5 assists in 12 of 18 games, and OddsShopper’s projections give this a 62% chance of winning. The under is juiced to -135, but it still has a 7% ROI. OddsShopper’s projections have Williamson at 4.4 assists on Wednesday.
New Orleans is a 10.5-point favorite, so the chance of a blowout also exists to limit Williamson’s opportunities.
Bet: Zion Williamson Under 5.5 Assists (-135) at PointsBet
Jordan Clarkson O/U 0.5 Steals
One of the latest games of the night also features the prop with the most expected value. OddsShopper’s projections give Clarkson a 58% chance of not recording a steal on Wednesday, with a 10% expected value at Caesars at odds of -115. Clarkson averages 0.3 steals on the year and has only stolen the ball in 8-of-26 games.
Sometimes the most profitable bets aren’t the most fun. But Clarkson is in the game to shoot the ball, not to teal it. Count on this long-term +EV play.
Bet: Jordan Clarkson Under 0.5 Steals (-115) at Caesars
