The playoffs are just two weeks away. Who will give that extra effort to get their team to the postseason by scoring a touchdown? Our staff of Isaiah Sirois and Justin Martin have identified several sharp betting angles to exploit, and OddsShopper’s model has identified plenty of other options as well. Here are the players to watch and picks to make on the NFL anytime touchdown scorer betting markets for Week 16, including A.J. Brown, for Cardinals-Eagles, Titans-Texans and Dolphins-Ravens — if you’re looking for other player props, check out our staff player prop picks or our NFL betting model’s picks!
NFL Week 17 Anytime Touchdown Bets: Picks for Cardinals-Eagles & More
NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 17 | Titans-Texans
Titans-Texans Odds
Odds via bet365
Titans: +165 | Texans: -200
Titans +4: -110 | Texans -4: -110
Over 44: -110 | Under 44: -110
When: Sunday, Dec. 31 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown
The Houston Texans will finally get quarterback C.J. Stroud back under center. That means big things for their offense — backups Case Keenum and Davis Mills were both major downgrades. We haven’t seen much of Stroud without slot receiver Nathaniel Dell, which creates some value on the Nico Collins anytime touchdown market in this spot.
Collins has been Houston’s highest-volume weapon in the red zone. He has earned a team-high 14 targets inside the 20-yard line and a team-high eight targets inside the 10. Collins has converted six of his red-zone looks into scores. He also reeled in a 52-yard touchdown pass against the Pittsburgh Steelers earlier this year.
The Texans draw a matchup with the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. The Titans rank 29th in red-zone scoring chances allowed (3.7). While they rank second in touchdown conversion rate on those possessions (38.2%), Collins should have plenty of chances to find paydirt. Further, the Titans have allowed 14 receiving touchdowns to wideouts this year, which ranks 23rd.
You’ll find Collins priced at +150 (40%) to score a touchdown at bet365 and PointsBet, but most books have him shorter than that. He clocks in at +127 (44.1%) on Pinnacle, a sharp book, at +125 on BetMGM and +120 on Caesars. We’re getting more than enough edge on the market to warrant a wager on Stroud’s top red-zone target in a must-win game.
Best NFL Week 17 Anytime Touchdown Bet: Nico Collins +150 at bet365
NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 17 | Cardinals-Eagles
Cardinals-Eagles Odds
Odds via bet365
Cardinals: +500 | Eagles: -700
Cardinals +12: -110 | Eagles -12: -110
Over 48: -108 | Under 48: -112
When: Sunday, Dec. 31 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Justin Martin
A.J. Brown Anytime Touchdown
I hate using the word “due” in sports, but this is a spot where A.J. Brown is due to explode. Brown and the Eagles will face off against the woeful Arizona Cardinals defense that hovers around the bottom of the NFL in all defensive categories. Pick your choice of which Eagles star on offense to back, but I’m targeting A.J. Brown to find the end zone.
Brown is not one to be shy about showing his emotions. After a Christmas Day win against the New York Giants, in which Brown had a big second half, he refused to talk to the media. That was much to the displeasure of the Eagles’ offense, which has been a disappointment for most of the season. Brown put up historic numbers in the middle of the season but has returned to Earth. He has failed to reach the end zone in four weeks after scoring four in the first 10 weeks of the season.
The books are expecting the Eagles to score in bunches on Sunday. Their team total is 30.5 on FanDuel, while Brown has the third-best odds to score a touchdown for the Eagles at +115. That’s some solid value, especially when you look at where the rest of the market lists Brown. Brown comes in at +100 on DraftKings and -110 on BetMGM. Brown’s physique makes him a threat to reel in a touchdown at any given point in the game. Back the perennial All-Pro wide receiver to score a touchdown against the Cardinals at home.
Best NFL Week 17 Anytime Touchdown Bet: A.J. Brown +115 at FanDuel
NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 17 | Dolphins-Ravens
Dolphins-Ravens Odds
Odds via bet365
Dolphins: +145 | Ravens: -170
Dolphins +3: -110 | Ravens -3: -110
Over 46.5: -110 | Under 46.5: -110
When: Sunday, Dec. 31 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Gus Edwards Anytime Touchdown
I’m going to keep things simple with this pick. The Ravens trust no one more than Gus Edwards in the red zone — he has earned 34 carries inside the 20-yard line (35.4%), 26 inside the 10 (47.3%) and 17 inside the five (60.7%). The Ravens are also favored for this one, and the total sits in the mid-40s.
I’m not sure why Edwards is a plus-money pick to find paydirt, but he is — and he has longer odds than Raheem Mostert and Tyreek Hill. Sure, Mostert and Hill have scored a bunch this year. The Ravens have also allowed the fewest offensive touchdowns per game (1.3). Miami ranks just 13th (2.1).
The Ravens and Dolphins both allow opposing offenses to get into the red zone at the same rate — 2.9 times per game. However, the Ravens have allowed a touchdown 38.6% of the time, which ranks third, while the Dolphins have allowed one 63.6% of the time, which ranks 26th.
The books disagree about the right price for Edwards. You’ll find him listed at +120 on FanDuel and bet365 but at +105 on Pinnacle, a sharp book, -110 on Caesars and -115 on BetMGM. Edwards’ odds of finding paydirt should be better than a coinflip, so anything above +100 is value to me.
Best NFL Week 17 Anytime Touchdown Bet: Gus Edwards +120 at bet365
