New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Home Run Picks Today (6/21)
In Summary
- Kyle Schwarber is the headline home run bet for New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies — best price +300 at Unibet.
- We compared every sportsbook's "to hit a home run" price for this game; the table below shows where each play pays the most.
- A home run prop's payout swings a lot book to book, so always take the best available number — that's the whole edge.
See the full slate: all of today's best home run bets, ranked by price, are in our MLB Home Run Picks Today hub.
Here are the top home run bets for New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies on June 21, 2026, with the best price on each across 100+ sportsbooks. "To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 home runs market; the odds below are the best available right now, so shop them on the OddsShopper home run odds screen before you bet.
Best Home Run Bets for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | +300 | Unibet | 25.0% | 32 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | +350 | Bet365 | 22.2% | 32 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | +485 | Pinnacle | 17.1% | 32 |
| Jared Young (NYM) | +545 | Pinnacle | 15.5% | 31 |
| MJ Melendez (NYM) | +550 | Bet365 | 15.4% | 24 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | +654 | Underdog | 13.3% | 24 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | +685 | Kalshi | 12.7% | 31 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | +700 | Fanatics | 12.5% | 31 |
The Top Play: Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber carries the shortest home run price in this game at +300 (25.0% implied), and the best number is at Unibet across the 32 books pricing it. On a payout-driven market like home runs, the gap between the best and worst book is real money, so the number you take matters as much as the player you pick.
Best Value: Juan Soto
For more payout, Juan Soto is priced at +350 (22.2% implied), best at Bet365. Longer home run prices are high-variance by nature, so size these small and treat them as upside swings, not anchors.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- FOTP on Tails (1881-1406 graded record) likes Zack Wheeler Under 18.5 Total Pitching Outs (-125).
- MVPRO on Tails (1222-1166 graded record) likes Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (-187).
- MVPRO on Tails (1222-1166 graded record) likes Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+800).
- Gubabets on Tails (2341-1336 graded record) likes Philadelphia Phillies -0.5 Run Line 1st5 (+120.37).
- KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS on Tails (1858-1340 graded record) likes Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases (+122).
- FOTP on Tails (1881-1406 graded record) likes Philadelphia Phillies -0.5 Moneyline 5I (-125).
- The Bet Baba on Tails (3993-3763 graded record) likes 3-leg parlay on this game (+559).
More from these experts on New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies. FOTP, Gubabets, KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS, MVPRO, The Bet Baba post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 100+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
- Size for variance. Home run props are longshots; keep the stakes small and play the long run.
New to OddsShopper? It scans 100+ sportsbooks in real time and flags the best price on every home run prop (and where it's actually +EV), doing automatically what this article did by hand. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies today? Kyle Schwarber at +300 (Unibet) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
