Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Home Run Picks Today (6/27)
Few bets are more fun than calling a home run before it happens — one swing and the ticket cashes. Here's where the long-ball value looks best in Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets.
In Summary
- Alec Bohm is the headline home run bet for Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets — best price +143 at PolymarketUS.
- We compared every sportsbook's "to hit a home run" price for this game; the table below shows where each play pays the most.
- Prices swing a lot book to book, so always take the best available number — it isn't an edge by itself (a great price on a -EV bet is still -EV), but on a play that's already +EV it's how you squeeze the most out of that edge.
See the full slate: all of today's best home run bets, ranked by price, are in our MLB Home Run Picks Today hub.
Here are the top home run bets for Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets on June 27, 2026, with the best price on each across 100+ sportsbooks. "To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 home runs market; the odds below are the best available right now, so shop them on the OddsShopper home run odds screen before you bet.
Best Home Run Bets for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | +143 | PolymarketUS | 41.2% | 1 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | +218 | Kalshi | 31.4% | 36 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | +373 | Kalshi | 21.1% | 34 |
| Ronny Mauricio (NYM) | +450 | BetOnline | 18.2% | 2 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | +456 | Kalshi | 18.0% | 34 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | +500 | Unibet | 16.7% | 32 |
| Bo Bichette (NYM) | +525 | TheScore | 16.0% | 34 |
| Jared Young (NYM) | +573 | Kalshi | 14.9% | 30 |
The Top Play: Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm carries the shortest home run price in this game at +143 (41.2% implied), and the best number is at PolymarketUS across the 1 books pricing it. On a payout-driven market like home runs, the gap between the best and worst book is real money, so the number you take matters as much as the player you pick.
Best Value: Kyle Schwarber
For more payout, Kyle Schwarber is priced at +218 (31.4% implied), best at Kalshi. Longer home run prices are high-variance by nature, so size these small and treat them as upside swings, not anchors.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- BGrebbs on Tails likes Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+632).
- FullProofSportsBetting on Tails likes Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (+120).
- FullProofSportsBetting on Tails likes Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 Run Line (-170).
- MassMoneyline on Tails likes Philadelphia Phillies 0 Moneyline (+114).
- John the Bettist on Tails likes Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+450).
- JediModi on Tails likes Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+610).
- JediModi on Tails likes Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+400).
- MVPRO on Tails likes Trea Turner Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+680).
- MVPRO on Tails likes J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+760).
- MVPRO on Tails likes Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+230).
- Stacks Covers on Tails (#10 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Philadelphia Phillies Over 4.5 Team Total Bases (-105).
- MVPRO on Tails likes Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (-167).
- Rounding Third on Tails likes Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+440).
- BiscoBets on Tails (#8 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts (+108).
More from these experts on Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets. BGrebbs, BiscoBets, FullProofSportsBetting, JediModi, John the Bettist, MVPRO, Rounding Third post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 100+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
- Size for variance. Home run props are longshots; keep the stakes small and play the long run.
New to OddsShopper? It scans 100+ sportsbooks in real time and flags the best price on every home run prop (and where it's actually +EV), doing automatically what this article did by hand. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets today? Alec Bohm at +143 (PolymarketUS) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
