Who Wins The 2027 Stanley Cup?
Kalshi's favorite is the Florida Panthers at 12¢, with the Carolina Hurricanes a cent behind. The eight-model panel disagrees: it puts the Colorado Avalanche on top at 11% and Florida no better than third.
The biggest split is Dallas. The market has the Stars at 5¢; the panel has them at 10%, the second-best number on the board.
Hockey's field is flat enough that the gap between the favorite and the tenth choice is a few cents, which is why offseason moves matter more here than in most sports. Each model saw last season's record, the complete current roster, and official transactions from the NHL and ESPN, but no market prices. Prices and verdicts on this page are from July 25, 2026.
Which Prices Look Wrong?
Dallas Stars: market 5¢, panel 10%. Gemini 3.1 Pro's case is a 112-point core with Jake Oettinger in net, priced level with Minnesota and Montréal.
Minnesota Wild: market 5¢, panel 8%. DeepSeek V4: "With 104 points last season and the addition of elite defenseman Quinn Hughes, the Wild are a top contender, but the Cup remains highly competitive."
Boston Bruins: market 2¢, panel 5%. Claude Sonnet: "Bruins are a strong, retooled roster but one of 32 teams; Cup odds are inherently long."
Florida Panthers: market 12¢, panel 9%. The only market top-four team the panel fades. Claude Sonnet: "Talented core retained but mediocre 84-point season signals decline."
All 32 Teams, Priced
| Team | Kalshi | AI blend | ChatGPT (GPT-5.5) | Claude Fable | Claude Opus | Claude Sonnet | Gemini 3.1 Pro | GLM 5.2 | Kimi K3 | DeepSeek V4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 9¢ | 11% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 9% |
| Dallas Stars | 5¢ | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Florida Panthers | 12¢ | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 10% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 11¢ | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
| Minnesota Wild | 5¢ | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 12% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 9¢ | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 8¢ | 7% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 7¢ | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 2% |
| Montréal Canadiens | 5¢ | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6% |
| Boston Bruins | 2¢ | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 4¢ | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 2% |
| Washington Capitals | 5¢ | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Ottawa Senators | 3¢ | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 3¢ | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 2¢ | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| New Jersey Devils | 4¢ | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Utah Mammoth | 3¢ | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1.5% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 4¢ | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 0.8% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 1¢ | 2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| New York Rangers | 3¢ | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 3¢ | 2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3% | 1.5% | 4% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| St. Louis Blues | 2¢ | 2.0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| New York Islanders | 2¢ | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1.5% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 2¢ | 1.9% | 2% | 1.5% | 2% | 4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 2¢ | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2% | 1.5% | 4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nashville Predators | 1¢ | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 4¢ | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2% | 4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| San Jose Sharks | 4¢ | 1.7% | 2% | 1.5% | 2% | 1.0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0.5% |
| Seattle Kraken | 1¢ | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2% | 0.8% | 2% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 1¢ | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Calgary Flames | 1¢ | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 1¢ | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Kalshi prices are from July 25, 2026. Every seat on this panel is graded against real market settlements, with records to date between 80% and 86%; the full scoreboard is recomputed daily.
Model estimates generated July 25, 2026, price-blind. These are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial or trading advice. Models are frequently wrong; the market price reflects real traders' money. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange; 18+, availability varies by state.
More on this: Presidents Cup 2026 Odds: USA Or International? | Kalshi · Leagues Cup Final Odds: Toluca Vs Monterrey, And The 46.5¢ Of MLS That Went To Zero · 2030 World Cup Odds: Why The USA Is Priced Above Norway · Esports World Cup CS2 Bracket: Kalshi Favors Vitality · FedEx Cup Odds: The Kalshi Market That Doesn't Exist
