Prediction Markets: Kalshi, Polymarket & Model Verdicts
Prediction-market betting from the OddsShopper team — how Kalshi and Polymarket work, where they beat the sportsbook price, platform guides, and our AI Model Verdicts on real markets. Contract prices shown in cents with the American-odds equivalent.
Esports Betting On A Regulated Exchange: What Is Actually Listed
Esports betting on a CFTC-regulated exchange: the CS2, LoL, Dota 2, Valorant, R6 and Call of Duty markets, how a match market is built, and how it settles.
League Of Legends Betting Odds: What The Exchange Lists
League of Legends betting odds on Kalshi: two markets per match, a book that opens three days early, and contracts that settle when the Nexus falls.
Valorant Betting Odds: The Markets And How They Settle
Valorant betting odds on Kalshi: two markets per match, prices in cents, and contracts that settle the moment a winner is declared. The measured board inside.
Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds: The AI Model Verdict
Six AI models graded Kalshi's Wisconsin Democratic governor primary price-blind. Francesca Hong leads at an 82% blend; David Crowley beats his 5-cent price.
2026 Midterm Election Odds: Every Race, One Board
2026 midterm election odds on Kalshi, scored price-blind by an AI model panel: a split Congress leads the market''s sweep, plus every Senate race on one board.
July CPI Report Odds: Will Inflation Rebound?
July CPI report odds: an AI panel priced Kalshi's inflation ladder blind and sees a hotter rebound than the market after June's drop. Prices as of Aug 10.
FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds: The AI Model Verdict
Five AI models scored Kalshi's FedEx St. Jude Championship winner odds price-blind. Scheffler leads; the panel likes McIlroy and Schauffele over the market.
Prediction Market Whales: How One Trader Moves The Price
Prediction market whales can move a thin market 9 points with a single order. How order books absorb big trades, and how to tell mechanics from manipulation.
Kalshi Fine Print Watch: The 10 Biggest Markets, Graded A-F
Edition 1 of our weekly settlement-risk column. We read the actual rules text behind Kalshi's ten highest-volume open markets and graded each one A to F for the gap between the headline and the fine print. One F, three Ds, and the F sits on the single most-traded market on the exchange.
Kalshi Longshot Picks: Where Our AI Panel Sees 3x The Market
Seven Kalshi markets priced 3 to 11 cents where our price-blind AI panel lands near triple the market: Parker Messick, Nolan McLean, Peter Magyar, Pete Buttigieg, Inter, the New Hampshire Senate race, and one maverick call on Cristopher Sanchez. Every number gets graded in public.
Kalshi Weather Markets: The Live Hub
Kalshi weather markets explained: how temperature contracts settle to $1 or $0, the two clocks behind highs and lows, the risk shape of selling long shots.
MLS Cup 2026 Odds: Inter Miami 28.5¢, But The AI Panel Says 12%
Who wins MLS Cup 2026? Kalshi makes Inter Miami the 28.5-cent favorite; our price-blind AI panel says 12% and narrowly picks Nashville SC. All 30 clubs, scored.
The 7 Most Contested Prediction Markets On Kalshi Right Now
Edition 1 of the Disagreement Index. Eight AI models price every market blind, and mostly they agree. These are the seven open Kalshi markets where they split hardest this week: NASA's Moon deadline, Bronny James, the House, a 2027 recession and more, with every seat's number shown.
Munetaka Murakami Rookie Of The Year Odds: The Panel Splits With The Crowd
Munetaka Murakami Rookie of the Year odds: Kalshi says 21 cents; an eight-model panel reading live rookie stat lines blends far higher. The split inside.
Next James Bond Odds: Callum Turner 35.5¢, The AI Panel Says 6.8%
Who will be the next James Bond? Kalshi has Callum Turner at 35.5 cents; our price-blind AI panel says 6.8%, with 45% on a name not on the board at all.
NL Rookie Of The Year Odds 2026: JJ Wetherholt Fades
NL Rookie of the Year odds 2026: Kalshi favors JJ Wetherholt near 51 cents, but our 5-model panel splits the pick between Nolan McLean and Sal Stewart.
Premier League Winner Odds 2026-27: AI Model Verdict
The 2026-27 Premier League winner odds on Kalshi vs. our six-model AI panel: they back Arsenal, lean up on Manchester City, and fade Chelsea hard.
Steph Curry Next Team Odds: Every Landing Spot, Scored
Steph Curry next team odds: the Celtics rumor took Boston from 1 to 9 cents on Kalshi — now 4.5, with Golden State at 92.5. Eight AI models score all 30 spots.
Texas Senate Odds 2026: The Paxton Vs. Talarico AI Model Verdict Vs. The Kalshi Market
Six AI models scored Kalshi''s 2026 Texas Senate race price-blind, keeping Republican Ken Paxton favored over Democrat James Talarico, just past the market.
Travis Kelce Retirement Odds: A 2¢ Market, And The AI Panel Says 3%
Is Travis Kelce retiring before the 2026 season? Kalshi prices it near 2 cents and our AI panel says 3%: he committed in March to a 14th Chiefs season.
