The Quick Answer
Two Underdog NFL picks for Sunday Night Football, November 1, Eagles at Commanders (8:20 p.m. ET at Northwest Stadium): Dallas Goedert (PHI) Higher 6.5 targets and Jayden Daniels (WSH) Higher 199.5 passing yards. Philadelphia is 2-5 and starts Tanner McKee (PHI) with Jalen Hurts (PHI) on injured reserve, Washington is 1-4-1 and a 6-point home favorite on ESPN's line with the total at 40.5, and both passing games are short a top receiver: DeVonta Smith (PHI) is out with a hamstring and Terry McLaurin (WSH) is on injured reserve.
The Picks: Sunday Night Football, November 1
| Player | Stat | Line | Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | Targets | 6.5 | Higher |
| Jayden Daniels (WSH) | Passing yards | 199.5 | Higher |
Dallas Goedert Higher 6.5 Targets
Eric's read: with DeVonta Smith out, Goedert becomes the centerpiece of Philadelphia's passing attack. In the games Smith has missed this season, Eric has Goedert at a 22.9 percent target share and 13 first-read targets, and tonight he draws a Washington secondary that has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards to tight ends, with McKee under center and leaning on the short area. Give him Goedert higher, no questions asked.
The game log, per ESPN: Goedert has played five games this season and been targeted 5, 3, 9, 8 and 7 times. The two he played without Smith are the ones that matter here, 9 targets for 6 catches and 38 yards against Jacksonville in Week 5 and 7 targets for 5 catches and 48 yards against Dallas last week, both over 6.5. Smith was ruled out with a hamstring injury and is not expected back until the Giants game on November 8.
Jayden Daniels Higher 199.5 Passing Yards
Eric's read: Daniels gets a Philadelphia defense he has at 25th in EPA per pass and 28th in passing yards allowed, a favorable matchup even without Terry McLaurin, and Washington's passing offense has been improving since Daniels came back from injury. He likes Daniels to clear 200 easily through the air.
The game log, per ESPN: Daniels threw for 300 yards against San Francisco in Week 6, 29 of 40 for a 72.5 percent completion rate with two touchdowns and no interceptions, and he has topped 300 combined passing plus rushing yards in each of his last two games, 302 against the Giants in Week 5 (199 passing, 103 rushing) and 310 against the 49ers. He missed Weeks 3 and 4, so those two games are the whole sample since his return. McLaurin went on injured reserve with a knee injury and is out for the season, which is the one thing working against the volume.
How Keep Your Million Works
Keep Your Million is Underdog's free-to-play survival game. Every eligible customer, all new users and most existing users, receives a virtual $1,000,000 pot in bonus funds, and it is up to you to protect it across 20 questions.
- Pick a question. Example: will Patrick Mahomes throw for Higher or Lower than 275 passing yards?
- Split your million. Drag a slider to divide the pot between Higher and Lower: 100% on one side, 50/50, or anything in between. All the money has to go somewhere.
- Lock it in. Once you submit before the game starts, it is locked and cannot be changed.
- Keep your winnings. When the game settles, keep whatever you put on the winning side. That amount becomes your pot for the next question.
- Run it back. Make a pick for up to 20 questions. Survive all 20 and cash out whatever is left in Underdog bonus funds. Hit zero and you are out.
The Deposit Match
New users on Underdog Fantasy get a 50% first-deposit match up to $1,000 in bonus funds in states with an Underdog product: AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, DE, DC, FL, GA, IL, IN, KS, KY, MA, MD, MI, MN, MS, MO, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WV, WI, WY. In the predictions-only states, CT, HI, ID, IA, LA, ME, MT and WA, the match is 25% of the first deposit up to $250 in bonus funds.
Use code OS1 and get up to $1,000 in bonus cash: play.underdogsports.com/vgwg/p-os1.
Trading involves risk, including total loss on positions. Content is promotional and not a recommendation to trade. Promotion issued by affiliate. Terms apply.
Underdog is available in 49 of 50 U.S. states. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
