Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles Home Run Picks Today (6/28)
Someone's flipping a bat in Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles tonight. These are the hitters most likely to do it — and the sportsbook paying the most when they connect.
In Summary
- Pete Alonso is the headline home run bet for Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — best price +300 at PointsBet.
- We compared every sportsbook's "to hit a home run" price for this game; the table below shows where each play pays the most.
- Prices swing a lot book to book, so always take the best available number — it isn't an edge by itself (a great price on a -EV bet is still -EV), but on a play that's already +EV it's how you squeeze the most out of that edge.
See the full slate: all of today's best home run bets, ranked by price, are in our MLB Home Run Picks Today hub.
Here are the top home run bets for Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles on June 28, 2026, with the best price on each across 100+ sportsbooks. "To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 home runs market; the odds below are the best available right now, so shop them on the OddsShopper home run odds screen before you bet.
Best Home Run Bets for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (BAL) | +300 | PointsBet | 25.0% | 36 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | +318 | Pinnacle | 23.9% | 36 |
| Samuel Basallo (BAL) | +340 | Circa | 22.7% | 35 |
| James Wood (WSH) | +375 | PointsBet | 21.1% | 36 |
| Coby Mayo (BAL) | +381 | PolymarketUS | 20.8% | 36 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | +441 | NoVig | 18.5% | 33 |
| Taylor Ward (BAL) | +475 | Bet365 | 17.4% | 36 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | +500 | Unibet | 16.7% | 36 |
The Top Play: Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso carries the shortest home run price in this game at +300 (25.0% implied), and the best number is at PointsBet across the 36 books pricing it. On a payout-driven market like home runs, the gap between the best and worst book is real money, so the number you take matters as much as the player you pick.
Best Value: Gunnar Henderson
For more payout, Gunnar Henderson is priced at +318 (23.9% implied), best at Pinnacle. Longer home run prices are high-variance by nature, so size these small and treat them as upside swings, not anchors.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- MoneyTrainSports on Tails likes James Wood Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+334).
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-155).
- EMac on Tails likes Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+625).
- JediModi on Tails likes Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+325).
- JediModi on Tails likes Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+650).
- Bank of Dennis on Tails likes Washington Nationals Moneyline (+174).
- FullProofSportsBetting on Tails likes Washington Nationals Moneyline (+102).
- BGrebbs on Tails likes Washington Nationals Under 9 Total Runs (-111).
- EMac on Tails likes Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+450).
- JediModi on Tails likes Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+525).
More from these experts on Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles. BGrebbs, FullProofSportsBetting, JediModi, Rebel Mickie post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 100+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
- Size for variance. Home run props are longshots; keep the stakes small and play the long run.
New to OddsShopper? It scans 100+ sportsbooks in real time and flags the best price on every home run prop (and where it's actually +EV), doing automatically what this article did by hand. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment if you subscribe.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles today? Pete Alonso at +300 (PointsBet) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
