Get ready for a wild Monday with all 30 teams in action across the NBA. That means we have a ton of props on No House Advantage. Let’s try to narrow down the field by highlighting some favorable options to consider. Also, be sure to check out our NBA Player Props Tool to help pick your props.
NBA No House Advantage Props: Nov. 7
Nikola Jokic, DEN at SA: Over 7.5 Assists
He’s not exactly off to a quiet start, but Jokic is averaging 20.3 points per game despite shooting 62.3% from the field. The big reason why he’s scoring nearly seven fewer points per game compared to last season is because his usage rate is down more than eight percentage points, checking in at 23.6%. With Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. healthy, Jokic isn’t likely to replicate the gaudy scoring numbers that he provided last season.
While Jokic’s scoring numbers are down, he’s averaging 9.2 assists per game with better scoring options around him. He’s failed to reach at least eight assists in a game just two times and he had 10 assists over just 27 minutes against these same Spurs on Saturday. The Spurs have the second-worst defensive rating in the league, so look for Jokic to rack up dimes in bunches again.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC at DET: Over 24.5 Points
This line is surprisingly low. Gilgeous-Alexander has a robust 32.6% usage rate on his way to averaging 30.5 points per game. He’s scored at least 25 points in all but two games this season. In one, he barely missed with 24 points against the Clippers. The other was when he was limited to 18 points by the Bucks, who have the best defensive rating in the league.
The stars could be aligning for Gilgeous-Alexander to have a huge game here. This matchup is as good as it gets with the Pistons having the worst defensive rating in the league. The Thunder have also played at the sixth-fastest pace, so Gilgeous-Alexander should receive plenty of opportunities to put up points.
Paolo Banchero, HOU at ORL: Over 21.5 Points
Banchero torched the Kings on Saturday, scoring 33 points on 14-for-26 shooting from the field. He also racked up 16 rebounds, although it still wasn’t enough to help the Magic earn a win. The rookie has been busy right out of the gate, logging 35 minutes per game.
Not only is Banchero playing a lot, but he’s one of the focal points of the Magics’ scoring attack, leaving him with a 29.7% usage rate that’s helped him average 22.9 points per game. The over for this line is appealing when you also factor in that the Rockets have played at the seventh-fastest pace and have the fourth-worst defensive rating in the league.
John Collins, ATL vs. MIL: Under 17.5 Points
After scoring at least 23 points in both of the first two games of the season, Collins has gone into a shell offensively. His usage rate is down to 15.6%, which is on pace to be the lowest mark of his career. He hasn’t scored more than 12 points in any of his last five games, and he scored seven points or fewer three times during that stretch.
The reason this line is set so high is probably that Trae Young (knee) is listed as questionable. If he were to sit out, then Collins could be looking at more shot attempts. However, even if Young is out, this is an awful matchup against the aforementioned stingy Bucks defense. Don’t be surprised to see Collins struggle again.
