After the NBA took the night off Tuesday, it storms back with 13 games Wednesday. That means we have a ton of props to sift through on No House Advantage. Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some favorable options to consider. Also, be sure to check out our NBA Player Props Tool to help you pick your props.
NBA No House Advantage Props Today, Nov.9
Nikola Jokic Prop – DEN at IND: Over 7.5 Assists
The Nuggets haven’t needed to rely as heavily on Jokic to score this season with Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. back in action. Jokic is still averaging 20.9 points per game, but that’s a far cry from the 27.1 points per game that he provided last season. The main reason for his decline is that he’s attempted five fewer shots per game.
While Jokic has been scoring less, he’s been facilitating even more. He has dished out at least 10 assists in three straight games and is averaging 9.3 assists for the season. With regards to this prop, he has at least eight assists in seven of 10 games. Plenty of more assists could be coming against a Pacers team that has played at the fifth-fastest pace and have the fifth-worst defensive rating in the league.
Luka Doncic Prop – DAL at ORL: Over 29.5 Points
It’s no secret that the Mavericks are only going to go as far as Doncic can carry them. Their entire offense is built around him. He had a usage rate of at least 36.0 percent in each of the last three seasons, including his 37.4 percent mark last season. That propelled him to average a least 27.7 points in all three seasons.
As great as Doncic’s numbers have been, he’s taken it to another level. Through nine games, he has a 39.2 percent usage rate and is averaging 36.0 points per game. He has scored at least 31 points in each game, and he has the potential for another big stat line against a Magic team that has the sixth-worst defensive rating.
Jayson Tatum Prop – BOS vs. DET: Over 24.5 Points
One of the great things about Tatum is that he plays a ton. Last season, he averaged 36 minutes over 76 games. He has logged 38 minutes per game this season, recording a 31.6 percent usage rate along the way. That’s on par with his mark last season, but he has been able to average 31.2 points per game because he’s shooting 49.8 percent from the field.
Tatum has used his increased efficiency, hefty usage rate and extensive playing time to score at least 25 points in nine of 10 games. The one time that he failed to, it was a narrow miss with 23 points over 27 minutes in a blowout victory over the Wizards. There is some blowout potential for this matchup, but with the Pistons sporting the second-worst defensive rating, the over is still appealing.
Donovan Mitchell Prop – CLE at SAC: Over 23.5 Points
The Cavaliers acquired Mitchell from the Jazz with the hopes that he can help take their talented young roster to the next level. So far, he has done just that, leading them to an 8-2 record. What’s even more impressive is that they have that stellar record despite Darius Garland missing six games.
Garland missing so much time has to be factored into Mitchell’s 30.9 percent usage rate. However, Mitchell and Garland have appeared in four games together, and Mitchell scored at least 25 points in each of them. He even scored at least 30 points three times. The Kings have played at the ninth-fastest pace in the league, so Mitchell should receive significant opportunities to reach the over.
