NFL Week 4 Prediction

Cowboys at Texans

Sunday, October 4 · 1:00 PM ET · NRG Stadium, Houston
What’s the final score?
Kalshi markets predict Texans 26, Cowboys 23. Drag or type to pick yours.

TOTAL 48.5TEXANS SCORE 0COWBOYS SCORE 0MORE POINTSFEWER POINTSMarket: HOU 26-23TEXANS 26-23Tell the story
Optional. Each answer adds the markets that fit it.
How do the Texans win?
OffWhat goes right for the Texans?
OffWhat goes wrong for the Cowboys?
OffFade a Cowboys star?
OffYour ticket
- HOU SPREADHouston Texans win by over 2.5?YES 52¢
Close Win
The favored Texans win by one score, with scoring close to Kalshi’s 48.5 total.
Markets that fit
5 of 5Strong fits
11Your script points right at these.- HOU TO WIN · From your scoreHouston Texans win?Your score has them winning.YES 59¢
Good fits
44These back up your script.- GAME TOTAL · From your scoreTotal points over 47.5?Your score has 49 total points, over 47.5.YES 55¢
- DAL TEAM TOTAL · From your scoreDallas Cowboys score over 24.5?You have them scoring 23 against a line of 24.5.NO 58¢
- HOU TEAM TOTAL · From your scoreHouston Texans score over 24.5?You have them scoring 26 against a line of 24.5.YES 53¢
- HOU SPREAD · From your scoreHouston Texans win by over 2.5?Texans by 3 clears the 2.5 spread.YES 52¢
Script another game
All NFL Week 4 gamesHow this works
Your final score does most of the work: the total, the margin and the winner line up with game markets, and the size of the win shapes how each offense plays. The optional questions tell the rest of the story. What goes right for the winner points at their player markets, and what goes wrong for the loser points at unders and the teammates who pick up the slack. A tied score asks every question of both teams. When two signals pull in opposite directions on the same market, we flag it instead of forcing a side.
Lines and prices come from Kalshi and are the last ones read before kickoff, at 12:59 PM ET on Sunday, October 4. Markets shown fit your script; they are not picks.