NFL Week 4 Prediction
Patriots at Bills
Sunday, October 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park
What’s the final score?
Kalshi markets predict Bills 28, Patriots 22. Drag or type to pick yours.
TOTAL 49.5BILLS SCORE 0PATRIOTS SCORE 0MORE POINTSFEWER POINTSMarket: BUF 28-22BILLS 28-22Tell the story
Optional. Each answer adds the markets that fit it.
How do the Bills win?
OffWhat goes right for the Bills?
OffWhat goes wrong for the Patriots?
OffFade a Patriots star?
OffYour ticket
- BUF SPREADBuffalo Bills win by over 6.5?NO 48¢
Close Win
The favored Bills win by one score, with scoring close to Kalshi’s 49.5 total.
Markets that fit
5 of 5Strong fits
11Your script points right at these.- BUF TO WIN · From your scoreBuffalo Bills win?Your score has them winning.YES 74¢
Good fits
44These back up your script.- GAME TOTAL · From your scoreTotal points over 48.5?Your score has 50 total points, over 48.5.YES 54¢
- NE TEAM TOTAL · From your scoreNew England Patriots score over 20.5?You have them scoring 22 against a line of 20.5.YES 53¢
- BUF TEAM TOTAL · From your scoreBuffalo Bills score over 31.5?You have them scoring 28 against a line of 31.5.NO 65¢
- BUF SPREAD · From your scoreBuffalo Bills win by over 6.5?Your score keeps the Bills from covering 6.5.NO 48¢
Script another game
All NFL Week 4 gamesHow this works
Your final score does most of the work: the total, the margin and the winner line up with game markets, and the size of the win shapes how each offense plays. The optional questions tell the rest of the story. What goes right for the winner points at their player markets, and what goes wrong for the loser points at unders and the teammates who pick up the slack. A tied score asks every question of both teams. When two signals pull in opposite directions on the same market, we flag it instead of forcing a side.
Lines and prices come from Kalshi and are the last ones read before kickoff, at 12:59 PM ET on Sunday, October 4. Markets shown fit your script; they are not picks.
