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Categories NCAAF

College Football Conference Championship PrizePicks Predictions: Michigan Runs Over Iowa (Dec. 1)

Updated December 2, 2023 | 2:30 pm CDT by Tim Speros
College Football Conference Championship PrizePicks Predictions: Michigan Runs Over Iowa (Dec. 1)

Welcome to the best college football PrizePicks plays, Conference Championship edition.  We have four big games including No. 15 Oklahoma State vs. No. 7 Texas for the Big 12 title, No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 8 Alabama for the SEC title, N0. 2 Michigan vs No. 16 Iowa for the Big 10 title, and No. 14 Louisville vs. No. 4 Florida State for the ACC title.   Let’s take a look at the best college football PrizePicks plays for Saturday’s conference championship games, starting with Blake Corum. 

With the assistance of OddsShopper’s Fantasy Optimizer, I’ve designed these plays to help you make informed choices and maximize your chances of success. If you aren’t on PrizePicks yet, you can find the best PrizePicks promo code here.

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College Football PrizePicks Predictions: Conference Championships

Blake Corum, Michigan, More/Less Than 18.5 Fantasy Score

The Michigan Wolverines are 21.5-point favorites over the Iowa Hawkeyes. This is the largest spread of the day, and it’s not even close. Michigan wins football games by running the ball and playing defense. Blake Corum leads the Wolverines with 976 rushing yards on 4.8 yards per attempt. Corum has had 22 or more rushing attempts in each of his last three games. The Iowa defense is good, though, right? In similar matchups against good run defenses like Penn State and Ohio State, Corum had 26.5 and 20.5 fantasy points, respectively.

Corum leads the nation with 22 rushing touchdowns. He gets two more touchdowns today and smashes the 18.5 prop, leading Michigan to a Big 10 title.

College Football PrizePicks Play: Blake Corum More Than 18.5 Fantasy Score

JJ McCarthy, Michigan, More/Less Than 14.5 Rushing Yards

JJ McCarthy averaged 6.6 yards per attempt this season and had at least 15 rushing yards in eight of Michigan’s 12 games. The Wolverines are going to control the ball in this one and avoid throwing against Iowa’s ninth-ranked passing defense.

According to OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool, McCarthy’s rushing yards prop has a 10% EV and a 60% win rate on the over. Some other books have this at 15.5, while FanDuel has this at 18.8. Let’s take the value here in a positive game script.

College Football PrizePicks Play: JJ McCarthy More Than 14.5 Rushing Yards

Kimani Vidal, Troy, More/Less Than 19.5 Fantasy Score

Kimani Vidal has a great matchup in the Sun Belt Championship against Appalachian State. Troy is favored by 5 points, and this game has a healthy 53.5 total. Vidal averaged 5.4 yards per attempt and led the Trojans with 1,349 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. He had at least 15 rushing attempts in 11 of 12 games this season.

Appalachian State ranks 99th in rushing defense, allowing 4.9 yards per attempt and 173 rushing yards per game. Underdog Fantasy has this prop at 23.15 giving this tons of value. Troy wins this game behind Vidal on the ground.

College Football PrizePicks Play: Kimani Vidal More Than 19.5 Fantasy Score

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Two-pick power plays and five-pick flexes have the best EV on PrizePicks. If you’re looking for more advice on how to maximize your value, click here. Give me a follow on X( formerly Twitter) where I’ll post more CFB plays if you want to add to your card.

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Tim Speros

Author

Tim Speros

Tim Speros is a sports betting analyst and a distinguished DFS writer for OddsShopper and Stokastic. With over 15 years of experience in the sports industry, Tim has a passion for educating and entertaining others through sports. Before joining our team, Tim worked in player development for the NBA league office, served as an NBA statistician for the Golden State Warriors, and contributed to various fantasy sports content providers. Tim holds a bachelor’s degree from Boston College and a Master’s in Sports Management from Georgetown. When he’s not chasing his three kids around, he enjoys chasing the 30x flex plays on PrizePicks.

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