The 2022 World Cup on Tuesday features games in Groups A and B as Matchday 3 begins. With qualifications on the line, here are three No House Advantage World Cup player props for Netherlands-Qatar and Iran-USA.
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No House Advantage World Cup Player Props
Memphis Depay Under 3.5 Shots
The first World Cup player prop is for Memphis Depay to stay under 2.5 total shots for the Netherlands against Qatar in Group A. Though the Netherlands is expected to dominate, Depay is only set for an hour of play, as he is recovering from injury. So far, in 74 minutes at this World Cup, Depay has mustered only one shot for the Oranje. The Barcelona forward has averaged 2.82 total shots per 90 minutes in the last 365 days.
To assume Depay will put up three shots, even against the weak Qatar defense, is a stretch. The hosts have conceded only 18 shots so far, which is not that bad considering the aesthetic of their two matches. This is a game the Netherlands will run in the midfield, not from the top. Depay will have to share his shots with Cody Gakpo, who will surely put one or two on frame. Overall, this is a prop that seems so easy to fade.
Xavi Simons Under 1.5 Shots
Another World Cup player prop for the Dutch is Xavi Simons to stay under 1.5 total shots. Oranje fans have been screaming for Louis van Gaal to finally give the PSV forward a chance. But the gaffer’s stubbornness makes it extremely difficult to decipher how many minutes Simons is likely to see in Matchday 3.
Simons has yet to play any minutes in this World Cup and remains without a senior cap for his national team. If van Gaal does decide to give the 19-year-old a chance, it is highly unlikely it will be in a game when the Netherlands still needs a result. Instead, expect a 20-minute cameo after the Netherlands has taken the lead.
Undoubtedly, this is a prop to favor if Simons were guaranteed a full run-out. He shoots 2.59 times per 90, with 46.8% of them on frame. This seems like a smart play to ride the under, as it requires multiple attempts in what will likely be be a truncated appearance.
Jordan Morris Under 0.5 Shots on Goal
The last World Cup player prop for Tuesday favors Jordan Morris of the United States to stay under 0.5 shots on goal against Iran. Morris should absolutely stay on the USA bench in this game. If not, Gregg Berhalter should not be a manager at the World Cup.
With qualification on the line, and a struggling offense, Berhalter should be looking at several options ahead of the Seattle Sounders forward. Gio Reyna, Brendan Aaronson, Josh Sargent and Jesus Ferreira are all players who should be warming up on the touchline if an offensive spark is needed.
Morris averages only 0.85 shots on target per 90, with a majority of those from MLS contests. Though it might seem harsh, this is a prop to fully back, because Morris is just not good enough to see time in a meaningful World Cup match.
