Who scores a touchdown in Ravens-Colts, and where is the price right? Kalshi's most likely scorer is Derrick Henry at 59¢ to score at least once, and the best sportsbook wants -165 for the same touchdown (Circa, 62¢ implied). The gap worth acting on runs the exchange's way: Jonathan Taylor is 58¢ on Kalshi against 62¢ implied at the best book, 4 cents apart. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff and a name on that list moves every price on this page. The full board, the first-touchdown market and the designations are below.
Kalshi prices as of Sunday, September 13, 2026, 10:20 a.m. ET; sportsbook prices pulled 10:31 a.m. ET from OddsShopper's live odds feed.
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The Board: Every Likely Scorer, Two Prices
Who scored: Derrick Henry (59¢ Sunday morning), Jonathan Taylor (58¢ Sunday morning), Zay Flowers (33¢ Sunday morning), Tyler Warren (29¢ Sunday morning), Lamar Jackson (24¢ Sunday morning). Those 1+ contracts paid $1; every other name on the board settled at $0. The Sunday-morning price sits next to each scorer so the board above can be read as a graded card.
Kalshi's ask is the market's probability in cents; Gap is the best US sportsbook's implied price minus that ask, so a positive gap means Kalshi is cheaper. Sims columns are the Stokastic Sims' projected DraftKings points and field ownership.
| Player | Team | Kalshi 1+ (bid / ask) | Best sportsbook | Implied | Gap | Sims proj. | Sims own. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | BAL | 58¢ / 59¢ | -165 (Circa) | 62¢ | +3 | 17.7 | 13% |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 57¢ / 58¢ | -160 (Circa) | 62¢ | +4 | 19.6 | 16% |
| Zay Flowers | BAL | 32¢ / 33¢ | +180 (Fanatics) | 36¢ | +3 | 16.0 | 13% |
| Mark Andrews | BAL | 31¢ / 32¢ | +190 (Circa) | 34¢ | +2 | 10.2 | 6% |
| Tyler Warren | IND | 28¢ / 29¢ | +240 (Fanatics) | 29¢ | 0 | 12.6 | 9% |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | 23¢ / 24¢ | +270 (PointsBet) | 27¢ | +3 | 21.5 | 6% |
| Josh Downs | IND | 22¢ / 23¢ | +310 (Fanatics) | 24¢ | +1 | 11.5 | 3% |
| Alec Pierce | IND | 22¢ / 23¢ | +310 (Circa) | 24¢ | +1 | 9.8 | 2% |
| Rashod Bateman | BAL | 20¢ / 21¢ | +340 (Fanatics) | 23¢ | +2 | 6.5 | 1% |
| Keenan Allen | IND | 16¢ / 17¢ | +380 (Fanatics) | 21¢ | +4 | 7.9 | 1% |
| Daniel Jones | IND | 15¢ / 16¢ | +500 (Fanatics) | 17¢ | +1 | 17.2 | 3% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane | BAL | 14¢ / 15¢ | +450 (Fanatics) | 18¢ | +3 | 5.1 | 1% |
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Kalshi Or The Book
Where Kalshi sells the touchdown cheaper than the best book: Jonathan Taylor (58¢ vs 62¢ at Circa), Keenan Allen (17¢ vs 21¢ at Fanatics), Derrick Henry (59¢ vs 62¢ at Circa), Zay Flowers (33¢ vs 36¢ at Fanatics) and Lamar Jackson (24¢ vs 27¢ at PointsBet).
Kalshi is at least as cheap as the best book on every name; Tyler Warren and Daniel Jones are the only prices that tie.
The reason the two sides disagree is fees and shape, not information. A sportsbook builds its margin into every anytime price; Kalshi's contract trades between users with a taker fee on top, so on a favorite the exchange usually shows the lower number and on a longshot the book sometimes does. Shop both before you take either.
First Touchdown
Settled: Jonathan Taylor scored the first touchdown. The contract paid $1; it traded at 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask on Sunday morning. Every other first-TD contract in the game settled at $0.
Kalshi's first-touchdown market is thinner than the anytime board and the spreads are wider, so read the ask as the price you pay, not a probability. Derrick Henry leads it at 17¢. First-touchdown searches spike at kickoff and again the moment someone scores; this table is what the market thought before the first snap.
| Player | Kalshi first TD (bid / ask) | 24h contracts | Best sportsbook first TD | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 15¢ / 17¢ | 5,298 | +425 (Caesars) | 19¢ | +2 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 15¢ / 16¢ | 813 | +450 (PointsBet) | 18¢ | +2 |
| Zay Flowers | 6¢ / 7¢ | 687 | +1200 (Circa) | 8¢ | +1 |
| Mark Andrews | 6¢ / 7¢ | 2,303 | +1200 (FanDuel) | 8¢ | +1 |
| Tyler Warren | 5¢ / 6¢ | 2,713 | +1500 (PointsBet) | 6¢ | 0 |
| Lamar Jackson | 5¢ / 6¢ | 5,049 | +1500 (FanDuel) | 6¢ | 0 |
| Josh Downs | 4¢ / 5¢ | 4,199 | +1800 (OnyxOdds) | 5¢ | 0 |
| Rashod Bateman | 3¢ / 4¢ | 377 | +2400 (Circa) | 4¢ | 0 |
Designations
Out or doubtful: Austin Ajiake (IND LB), Teddye Buchanan (BAL LB) and Nnamdi Madubuike (BAL DT). Questionable: Sean McKeon (IND TE) and Devontez Walker (BAL WR). Designations as carried by ESPN's game page at 8:47 a.m. ET; injured reserve not listed. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff, and a name on this list moves every price above it.
My Take
If I had to hold one contract from this board it is Jonathan Taylor on Kalshi at 58¢. The best sportsbook prices the same touchdown at 62¢ implied, so the exchange is the cheaper door by 4 cents, and the Sims give him 19.6 DraftKings points at 16% projected ownership, which is a real role, not a hope. The case against is the same as always with touchdown props: one goal-line carry to someone else and the contract is worth nothing. Size it like a lottery ticket with a good number, not a lock.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes Baltimore Ravens Moneyline (-162). Bet now
- DrRaeShumar on Tails (#1 on the NFL Most Profit leaderboard) likes Jonathan Taylor Over 17.5 Total Receiving Yards (-118). Bet now → DraftKings
- CDR Betting on Tails (#4 on the NFL Most Profit leaderboard) likes Indianapolis Colts +3.5 Point Spread (-120). Bet now
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes Ashton Dulin Under 0.5 Total Receptions (+110). Bet now → Polymarket
- House of Legends on Tails likes Derrick Henry Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns (-218). Bet now
- Bank of Dennis on Tails likes Jonathan Taylor 0.5 First Touchdown Scorer (+413).
- MisterMarkot on Tails likes Alec Pierce Over 43.5 Total Receiving Yards (-108). Bet now
More from these experts on Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts. CDR Betting, DrRaeShumar, House of Legends, MisterMarkot, Rebel Mickie post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Following the league day to day? The NFL training camp report tracks every team's news that moves these boards, and the live NFL odds screen carries every market for this game beyond touchdowns.
More Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans · Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers · Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders · New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions · New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans.
Odds move quickly and every number here is stamped above. Shop live prices on OddsShopper.
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