Who scores a touchdown in Broncos-Chiefs, and where is the price right? Kalshi's most likely scorer is Kenneth Walker III at 51¢ to score at least once, and the best sportsbook wants -105 for the same touchdown (Fanatics, 51¢ implied). The gap worth acting on runs the exchange's way: Travis Kelce is 30¢ on Kalshi against 32¢ implied at the best book, 2 cents apart. The widest gap the other way is Courtland Sutton, 28¢ on Kalshi and 27¢ at Circa. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff and a name on that list moves every price on this page. The full board, the first-touchdown market and the designations are below.
Kalshi prices as of Monday, September 14, 2026, 1:23 p.m. ET; sportsbook prices pulled 1:23 p.m. ET from OddsShopper's live odds feed.
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The Board: Every Likely Scorer, Two Prices
Who scored: Kenneth Walker III (51¢ Sunday morning), Rashee Rice (35¢ Sunday morning), Evan Engram (15¢ Sunday morning), Patrick Mahomes (13¢ Sunday morning). Those 1+ contracts paid $1; every other name on the board settled at $0. The Sunday-morning price sits next to each scorer so the board above can be read as a graded card.
Kalshi's ask is the market's probability in cents; Gap is the best US sportsbook's implied price minus that ask, so a positive gap means Kalshi is cheaper. Sims columns are the Stokastic Sims' projected DraftKings points and field ownership. The busiest contract in the game is Bo Nix, 124,742 contracts in the last 24 hours.
| Player | Team | Kalshi 1+ (bid / ask) | Best sportsbook | Implied | Gap | Sims proj. | Sims own. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | 50¢ / 51¢ | -105 (Fanatics) | 51¢ | 0 | 17.6 | 46% |
| Rashee Rice | KC | 35¢ / 36¢ | +175 (Bet365) | 36¢ | 0 | 15.3 | 37% |
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 32¢ / 33¢ | +200 (Fanatics) | 33¢ | 0 | 10.1 | 30% |
| Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 29¢ / 31¢ | +220 (Bet365) | 31¢ | 0 | 13.4 | 32% |
| Travis Kelce | KC | 29¢ / 30¢ | +215 (Circa) | 32¢ | +2 | 10.6 | 30% |
| Courtland Sutton | DEN | 27¢ / 28¢ | +275 (Circa) | 27¢ | -1 | 11.7 | 25% |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | 22¢ / 23¢ | +325 (Circa) | 24¢ | +1 | 8.5 | 15% |
| Xavier Worthy | KC | 20¢ / 21¢ | +350 (Circa) | 22¢ | +1 | 9.1 | 22% |
| Pat Bryant | DEN | 16¢ / 17¢ | +440 (BetRivers) | 19¢ | +2 | 6.4 | 22% |
| Bo Nix | DEN | 14¢ / 15¢ | +575 (Fanatics) | 15¢ | -0 | 17.7 | 50% |
| Evan Engram | DEN | 14¢ / 15¢ | +480 (FanDuel) | 17¢ | +2 | 6.3 | 19% |
| DEN Broncos D/ST | KC | 12¢ / 13¢ | — | — | — | — | — |
Kalshi Or The Book
Where Kalshi sells the touchdown cheaper than the best book: Travis Kelce (30¢ vs 32¢ at Circa), Pat Bryant (17¢ vs 19¢ at BetRivers), Evan Engram (15¢ vs 17¢ at FanDuel) and Xavier Worthy (21¢ vs 22¢ at Circa).
Where the book is the better price: Courtland Sutton (27¢ at Circa vs 28¢).
The reason the two sides disagree is fees and shape, not information. A sportsbook builds its margin into every anytime price; Kalshi's contract trades between users with a taker fee on top, so on a favorite the exchange usually shows the lower number and on a longshot the book sometimes does. Shop both before you take either.
First Touchdown
Settled: Patrick Mahomes scored the first touchdown. The contract paid $1; it traded at 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask on Sunday morning. Every other first-TD contract in the game settled at $0.
Kalshi's first-touchdown market is thinner than the anytime board and the spreads are wider, so read the ask as the price you pay, not a probability. Kenneth Walker III leads it at 13¢. First-touchdown searches spike at kickoff and again the moment someone scores; this table is what the market thought before the first snap.
| Player | Kalshi first TD (bid / ask) | 24h contracts | Best sportsbook first TD | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | 12¢ / 13¢ | 42,015 | +575 (Circa) | 15¢ | +2 |
| Rashee Rice | 7¢ / 8¢ | 30,292 | +950 (Circa) | 10¢ | +2 |
| J.K. Dobbins | 7¢ / 8¢ | 30,732 | +900 (OnyxOdds) | 10¢ | +2 |
| Travis Kelce | 6¢ / 7¢ | 57,965 | +1100 (FanDuel) | 8¢ | +1 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 6¢ / 7¢ | 41,997 | +1300 (Circa) | 7¢ | 0 |
| RJ Harvey | 5¢ / 6¢ | 7,399 | +1400 (Circa) | 7¢ | +1 |
| Courtland Sutton | 5¢ / 6¢ | 23,357 | +1500 (Circa) | 6¢ | 0 |
| Xavier Worthy | 4¢ / 5¢ | 25,954 | +1600 (Circa) | 6¢ | +1 |
Designations
Out or doubtful: Josh Simmons (KC OT), Chamarri Conner (KC S), Omarr Norman-Lott (KC DT), Jonathon Cooper (DEN LB) and Nick Gargiulo (DEN G). Questionable: no one. Designations as carried by ESPN's game page at 8:47 a.m. ET; injured reserve not listed. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff, and a name on this list moves every price above it.
My Take
If I had to hold one contract from this board it is Travis Kelce on Kalshi at 30¢. The best sportsbook prices the same touchdown at 32¢ implied, so the exchange is the cheaper door by 2 cents, and the Sims give him 10.6 DraftKings points at 30% projected ownership, which is a real role, not a hope. The case against is the same as always with touchdown props: one goal-line carry to someone else and the contract is worth nothing. Size it like a lottery ticket with a good number, not a lock.
More Boards
Every Week 1 game gets the same board; the NFL touchdown cheat sheet carries the slate in one table and the NFL first TD board tracks the first-scorer markets.
Odds move quickly and every number here is stamped above. Shop live prices on OddsShopper.
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