Who scores a touchdown in Broncos-Chiefs, and where is the price right? Kalshi's most likely scorer is Kenneth Walker III at 51¢ to score at least once, and the best sportsbook wants -115 for the same touchdown (Bet365, 53¢ implied). The gap worth acting on runs the exchange's way: Courtland Sutton is 26¢ on Kalshi against 29¢ implied at the best book, 3 cents apart. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff and a name on that list moves every price on this page. The full board, the first-touchdown market and the designations are below.
Kalshi prices as of Sunday, September 13, 2026, 10:20 a.m. ET; sportsbook prices pulled 10:31 a.m. ET from OddsShopper's live odds feed.
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The Board: Every Likely Scorer, Two Prices
Kalshi's ask is the market's probability in cents; Gap is the best US sportsbook's implied price minus that ask, so a positive gap means Kalshi is cheaper. Sims columns are the Stokastic Sims' projected DraftKings points and field ownership.
| Player | Team | Kalshi 1+ (bid / ask) | Best sportsbook | Implied | Gap | Sims proj. | Sims own. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | 50¢ / 51¢ | -115 (Bet365) | 53¢ | +2 | 17.7 | 46% |
| Rashee Rice | KC | 34¢ / 35¢ | +175 (BetMGM) | 36¢ | +1 | 15.4 | 37% |
| Travis Kelce | KC | 29¢ / 31¢ | +220 (BetMGM) | 31¢ | 0 | 10.6 | 27% |
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 29¢ / 31¢ | +180 (Fanatics) | 36¢ | +5 | 10.0 | 29% |
| Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 28¢ / 29¢ | +225 (Fanatics) | 31¢ | +2 | 13.4 | 31% |
| Courtland Sutton | DEN | 25¢ / 26¢ | +250 (Fanatics) | 29¢ | +3 | 11.7 | 26% |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | 22¢ / 23¢ | +300 (OnyxOdds) | 25¢ | +2 | 8.4 | 15% |
| Xavier Worthy | KC | 21¢ / 22¢ | +340 (Fanatics) | 23¢ | +1 | 9.2 | 22% |
| Evan Engram | DEN | 14¢ / 15¢ | +525 (Fanatics) | 16¢ | +1 | 6.3 | 19% |
| Tyquan Thornton | KC | 14¢ / 15¢ | +600 (DraftKings) | 14¢ | -1 | 4.6 | 11% |
| Pat Bryant | DEN | 14¢ / 15¢ | +450 (Fanatics) | 18¢ | +3 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Bo Nix | DEN | 13¢ / 14¢ | +550 (Fanatics) | 15¢ | +1 | 17.6 | 52% |
Kalshi Or The Book
Where Kalshi sells the touchdown cheaper than the best book: J.K. Dobbins (31¢ vs 36¢ at Fanatics), Courtland Sutton (26¢ vs 29¢ at Fanatics), Pat Bryant (15¢ vs 18¢ at Fanatics), Kenneth Walker III (51¢ vs 53¢ at Bet365) and Jaylen Waddle (29¢ vs 31¢ at Fanatics).
Kalshi is at least as cheap as the best book on every name; Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy and Tyquan Thornton are the only prices that tie.
The reason the two sides disagree is fees and shape, not information. A sportsbook builds its margin into every anytime price; Kalshi's contract trades between users with a taker fee on top, so on a favorite the exchange usually shows the lower number and on a longshot the book sometimes does. Shop both before you take either.
First Touchdown
Kalshi's first-touchdown market is thinner than the anytime board and the spreads are wider, so read the ask as the price you pay, not a probability. Kenneth Walker III leads it at 17¢. First-touchdown searches spike at kickoff and again the moment someone scores; this table is what the market thought before the first snap.
| Player | Kalshi first TD (bid / ask) | 24h contracts | Best sportsbook first TD | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | 9¢ / 17¢ | 307 | +575 (Circa) | 15¢ | -2 |
| Travis Kelce | 7¢ / 9¢ | 380 | +1100 (Caesars) | 8¢ | -1 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 5¢ / 8¢ | 175 | +1300 (Circa) | 7¢ | -1 |
| Courtland Sutton | 0¢ / 8¢ | 177 | +1500 (Circa) | 6¢ | -2 |
| RJ Harvey | 0¢ / 7¢ | 120 | +1400 (Circa) | 7¢ | -0 |
| Xavier Worthy | 0¢ / 6¢ | 0 | +1700 (Caesars) | 6¢ | -0 |
| Pat Bryant | 0¢ / 5¢ | 42 | +2300 (Caesars) | 4¢ | -1 |
| Evan Engram | 0¢ / 5¢ | 0 | +2500 (HardRock) | 4¢ | -1 |
Designations
Out or doubtful: Josh Simmons (KC OT), Chamarri Conner (KC S), Omarr Norman-Lott (KC DT), Jonathon Cooper (DEN LB) and Nick Gargiulo (DEN G). Questionable: no one. Designations as carried by ESPN's game page at 8:47 a.m. ET; injured reserve not listed. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff, and a name on this list moves every price above it.
My Take
If I had to hold one contract from this board it is Courtland Sutton on Kalshi at 26¢. The best sportsbook prices the same touchdown at 29¢ implied, so the exchange is the cheaper door by 3 cents, and the Sims give him 11.7 DraftKings points at 26% projected ownership, which is a real role, not a hope. The case against is the same as always with touchdown props: one goal-line carry to someone else and the contract is worth nothing. Size it like a lottery ticket with a good number, not a lock.
More Boards
Every Week 1 game gets the same board; the NFL touchdown cheat sheet carries the slate in one table and the NFL first TD board tracks the first-scorer markets.
Odds move quickly and every number here is stamped above. Shop live prices on OddsShopper.
