Who scores a touchdown in Packers-Vikings, and where is the price right? Kalshi's most likely scorer is MarShawn Lloyd at 40¢ to score at least once, and the best sportsbook wants +130 for the same touchdown (FanDuel, 43¢ implied). The gap worth acting on runs the exchange's way: Aaron Jones Sr. is 30¢ on Kalshi against 36¢ implied at the best book, 6 cents apart. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff and a name on that list moves every price on this page. The full board, the first-touchdown market and the designations are below.
Kalshi prices as of Sunday, September 13, 2026, 10:20 a.m. ET; sportsbook prices pulled 10:31 a.m. ET from OddsShopper's live odds feed.
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The Board: Every Likely Scorer, Two Prices
Who scored: Justin Jefferson (36¢ Sunday morning), Jordan Mason (35¢ Sunday morning), Aaron Jones Sr. (30¢ Sunday morning), Christian Watson (30¢ Sunday morning), T.J. Hockenson (19¢ Sunday morning). Those 1+ contracts paid $1; every other name on the board settled at $0. The Sunday-morning price sits next to each scorer so the board above can be read as a graded card.
Kalshi's ask is the market's probability in cents; Gap is the best US sportsbook's implied price minus that ask, so a positive gap means Kalshi is cheaper. Sims columns are the Stokastic Sims' projected DraftKings points and field ownership. The busiest contract in the game is Justin Jefferson, 21,523 contracts in the last 24 hours.
| Player | Team | Kalshi 1+ (bid / ask) | Best sportsbook | Implied | Gap | Sims proj. | Sims own. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | 39¢ / 40¢ | +130 (FanDuel) | 43¢ | +3 | 11.8 | 5% |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 35¢ / 36¢ | +175 (DraftKings) | 36¢ | 0 | 17.3 | 12% |
| Jordan Mason | MIN | 34¢ / 35¢ | +160 (Fanatics) | 38¢ | +3 | 10.3 | 1% |
| Tucker Kraft | GB | 29¢ / 30¢ | +220 (Fanatics) | 31¢ | +1 | 11.4 | 7% |
| Christian Watson | GB | 29¢ / 30¢ | +225 (Circa) | 31¢ | +1 | 13.3 | 8% |
| Aaron Jones Sr. | MIN | 29¢ / 30¢ | +180 (Fanatics) | 36¢ | +6 | 10.5 | 1% |
| Jordan Addison | MIN | 26¢ / 27¢ | +275 (Fanatics) | 27¢ | -0 | 10.4 | 3% |
| Jayden Reed | GB | 22¢ / 23¢ | +310 (Fanatics) | 24¢ | +1 | 10.8 | 6% |
| Kyler Murray | MIN | 21¢ / 22¢ | +310 (Fanatics) | 24¢ | +2 | 20.1 | 10% |
| Matthew Golden | GB | 20¢ / 21¢ | +325 (Fanatics) | 24¢ | +3 | 9.4 | 3% |
| T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 18¢ / 19¢ | +450 (Fanatics) | 18¢ | -1 | 7.7 | 4% |
| Jauan Jennings | MIN | 18¢ / 19¢ | +390 (BetMGM) | 20¢ | +1 | 6.5 | 1% |
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Kalshi Or The Book
Where Kalshi sells the touchdown cheaper than the best book: Aaron Jones Sr. (30¢ vs 36¢ at Fanatics), MarShawn Lloyd (40¢ vs 43¢ at FanDuel), Jordan Mason (35¢ vs 38¢ at Fanatics), Matthew Golden (21¢ vs 24¢ at Fanatics) and Kyler Murray (22¢ vs 24¢ at Fanatics).
Kalshi is at least as cheap as the best book on every name; Justin Jefferson, Christian Watson and Jordan Addison are the only prices that tie.
The reason the two sides disagree is fees and shape, not information. A sportsbook builds its margin into every anytime price; Kalshi's contract trades between users with a taker fee on top, so on a favorite the exchange usually shows the lower number and on a longshot the book sometimes does. Shop both before you take either.
First Touchdown
Settled: Christian Watson scored the first touchdown. The contract paid $1; it traded at 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask on Sunday morning. Every other first-TD contract in the game settled at $0.
Kalshi's first-touchdown market is thinner than the anytime board and the spreads are wider, so read the ask as the price you pay, not a probability. MarShawn Lloyd leads it at 10¢. First-touchdown searches spike at kickoff and again the moment someone scores; this table is what the market thought before the first snap.
| Player | Kalshi first TD (bid / ask) | 24h contracts | Best sportsbook first TD | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarShawn Lloyd | 9¢ / 10¢ | 589 | +850 (FanDuel) | 11¢ | +1 |
| Justin Jefferson | 7¢ / 8¢ | 4,062 | +1000 (Caesars) | 9¢ | +1 |
| Jordan Mason | 7¢ / 8¢ | 1,293 | +850 (PointsBet) | 11¢ | +3 |
| Christian Watson | 6¢ / 7¢ | 2,868 | +1300 (Caesars) | 7¢ | 0 |
| Tucker Kraft | 6¢ / 7¢ | 5,107 | +1300 (Circa) | 7¢ | 0 |
| Aaron Jones Sr. | 5¢ / 6¢ | 412 | +900 (Circa) | 10¢ | +4 |
| Matthew Golden | 5¢ / 6¢ | 9,254 | +1900 (BetRivers) | 5¢ | -1 |
| Kyler Murray | 5¢ / 6¢ | 696 | +1400 (HardRock) | 7¢ | +1 |
Designations
Out or doubtful: Warren Brinson (GB DT) and Josh Jacobs (GB RB). Questionable: Aaron Banks (GB G), Zach Bako-Bewele (GB OT) and Ty'Ron Hopper (GB LB). Designations as carried by ESPN's game page at 8:47 a.m. ET; injured reserve not listed. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff, and a name on this list moves every price above it.
My Take
If I had to hold one contract from this board it is Aaron Jones Sr. on Kalshi at 30¢. The best sportsbook prices the same touchdown at 36¢ implied, so the exchange is the cheaper door by 6 cents, and the Sims give him 10.5 DraftKings points at 1% projected ownership, which is a real role, not a hope. The case against is the same as always with touchdown props: one goal-line carry to someone else and the contract is worth nothing. Size it like a lottery ticket with a good number, not a lock.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Paul Rami on Tails likes Minnesota Vikings -1.5 Point Spread (-113). Bet now → NoVig
- CDR Betting on Tails (#4 on the NFL Most Profit leaderboard) likes Green Bay Packers Under 22.5 Team Total (-115). Bet now
More from these experts on Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings. CDR Betting posts full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Following the league day to day? The NFL training camp report tracks every team's news that moves these boards, and the live NFL odds screen carries every market for this game beyond touchdowns.
More Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts · Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans · Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers · Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders · New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions · New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans.
Odds move quickly and every number here is stamped above. Shop live prices on OddsShopper.
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