Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals home run picks: this board was built for the Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals game on August 9, 2026, which has been played, so the prices below are that day's record and not tonight's. As of September 4, 2026, tonight's best home run prices across 20-plus sportsbooks are on the live MLB home run odds screen, and the daily board is on MLB home run picks today.
Hunter Goodman at +365 headlined the Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals home run board — every priced bat is below, with the book that paid the most on each.
On the board for Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals: Hunter Goodman, Jimmy Crooks, Alec Burleson, Jordan Walker, Mickey Moniak, Jimmy Crooks II are the hitters priced to go deep, each with the best price and book across 20+ sportsbooks below.
The board ranks by market price, not by our conviction — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. The tailable plays from real experts sit below it, and the same prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another, so the OddsShopper home run odds screen is where to check the live number.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | +365 | NoVig | 21.5% | 34 |
| Jimmy Crooks (STL) | +391 | Pick6 | 20.4% | 1 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | +426 | ProphetX | 19.0% | 34 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) | +431 | ProphetX | 18.8% | 33 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | +529 | Kalshi | 15.9% | 34 |
| Jimmy Crooks II (STL) | +600 | Unibet | 14.3% | 28 |
| J.J. Wetherholt (STL) | +691 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 12.6% | 34 |
| Willi Castro (COL) | +700 | NoVig | 12.5% | 31 |
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The number that matters is the best price for the side you want, not who sits highest on the board — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. Compare each price to the rest of the field on the OddsShopper home run odds screen; when one book is a notably longer number than the others, that is where the line-shopping value is.
The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 9, 2026 · 01:45 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Busch Stadium: park index 76.4 · wind 10 mph.
- Hunter Goodman (COL) — 25% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 9 mph · 95° air · punishes sinkers and cutters, and that is 40% of what this starter throws. (model confidence A)
- books: best +365 at NoVig | exchanges: Kalshi +351 · Polymarket +337 · ProphetX +348 · NoVig +365
- Mickey Moniak (COL) — 95° air · punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 30% of what this starter throws. (model confidence A)
- books: best +529 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +529 · Polymarket +500 · ProphetX +500 · NoVig +441
- Jordan Walker (STL) — 15% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 9 mph · 95° air. (model confidence A)
- books: best +431 at ProphetX | exchanges: Kalshi +425 · Polymarket +406 · ProphetX +431 · NoVig +426
- Alec Burleson (STL) — 95° air · punishes sinkers and cutters, and that is 38% of what this starter throws. (model confidence A)
- books: best +426 at ProphetX | exchanges: Kalshi +425 · Polymarket +406 · ProphetX +426 · NoVig +413
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) — 95° air · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips. (model confidence A)
- books: best +685 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +685 · Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +666 · NoVig +567
- Iván Herrera (STL) — 20% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 9 mph · 95° air · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence A)
- books: best +685 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +685 · Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +647 · NoVig +641
- TJ Rumfield (COL) — 95° air. (model confidence B)
- books: best +944 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +944 · Polymarket +770 · ProphetX +921 · NoVig +900
- Cole Carrigg (COL) — 95° air · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence C)
- books: best +944 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +944 · Polymarket +857 · ProphetX +862 · NoVig +852
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees · Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers · Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals · Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox · Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants · Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres · Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers · New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox ·. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 20+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
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