Fifteen MLB games carry a first-inning market Tuesday, September 15, and two of the three loudest trends sit on prices with no edge. Janson Junk has not allowed a first-inning run since May 15. Arizona has not scored one in 15 games. San Francisco has seen one in 13 of its last 15.
The Quick Answer
Five of the 30 sides beat fair Tuesday, led by Royals-Astros YRFI +115 (2.8%), Braves-Cubs NRFI +106 (1.8%) and Dodgers-Reds NRFI -112 (0.7%). Only the Cubs game of the three gets its own section below; the quiet side comes first.
Junk Has Not Allowed A First-Inning Run Since May 15
Marlins At Diamondbacks: Junk Vs. Soroka, NRFI -110 / YRFI -102
Thirteen straight clean first innings, ten of ten in his last ten Miami starts, a run spanning a six-week midseason absence. Arizona is the one lineup here yet to score in the first in 15. Soroka is clean in eight of ten, though not his most recent.
The trend read: the board's best NRFI trend, and the book charges -110 for a +101 side. At a 53% Chase, that 0-for-15 is half the game.
Atlanta Has Scored A First-Inning Run In 4 Of Its Last 15
Braves At Cubs: Pérez Vs. Gausman, NRFI +106 / YRFI -108
Wrigley runs a 57% first-inning rate, third-busiest here, yet the quiet side pays plus money and Chicago has allowed a first-inning run in under a quarter of its games. Martín Pérez is clean in seven of ten, Gausman six of eight as a Cub, though he gave up three in the first last time out.
The trend read: the board's second-best edge, and the top-three price whose trend I'd lead with.
San Francisco Has Seen A First-Inning Run In 13 Of Its Last 15
Giants At Cardinals: Tidwell Vs. Pallante, NRFI -102 / YRFI -104
The board's most active first-inning lineup, nine of the 15 scored by the Giants, meets its quietest park: a 41% Busch where St. Louis has scored first twice in 15 and Pallante is clean in seven of ten. Tidwell, three of seven, is the other half.
The trend read: the halves cancel, and YRFI -104 misses fair by 2.1%. The runs money is the Royals-Astros YRFI at +115, 2.8% over fair despite Hunter Brown's nine clean firsts in ten.
True prices come from OS Pro's no-vig pricing, and the first-inning Odds Screen carries all 30 sides. The live odds screen shops every other MLB market across the major books. Code NRFI takes 20% off OS Pro.
More on this: NRFI Picks Today: Only 1 of 15 Games Has Value · MLB Hit Props Today · MLB Strikeout Props Today · MLB Total Bases Props Today · MLB Picks Hub: Today's Live Boards and Series
Tuesday's Full First-Inning Board
| Game (ET) | NRFI / YRFI | Away SP (clean 1st) | Home SP (clean 1st) | Team YRFI (Away / Home) | Park YRFI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers At Reds (6:40) | -112 / +108 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (7/10) | Rhett Lowder (7/10) | 49% / 53% | Great American 48% |
| Athletics At Rays (6:40) | -104 / +100 | Jack Perkins (6/10) | Griffin Jax (6/10) | 54% / 47% | Tropicana 49% |
| White Sox At Guardians (6:40) | -101 / -104 | Davis Martin (6/10) | Foster Griffin (6/7*) | 54% / 44% | Progressive 45% |
| Brewers At Pirates (6:40) | -132 / +126 | Jacob Misiorowski (7/10) | Lake Bachar (5/6*) | 50% / 48% | PNC 50% |
| Phillies At Nationals (6:45) | -113 / +108 | Cristopher Sánchez (9/10) | Jackson Kent (4/6*) | 53% / 49% | Nationals Park 49% |
| Tigers At Blue Jays (7:07) | -107 / +102 | Drew Anderson (8/9*) | Braydon Fisher (9/9*) | 49% / 50% | Rogers Centre 53% |
| Orioles At Mets (7:10) | -110 / -105 | Shane Baz (7/10) | Sean Manaea (7/10) | 44% / 51% | Citi Field 49% |
| Braves At Cubs (7:40) | +106 / -108 | Martín Pérez (7/10) | Kevin Gausman (6/8*) | 49% / 47% | Wrigley 57% |
| Yankees At Twins (7:40) | -111 / +106 | Max Fried (8/10) | Bailey Ober (6/10) | 49% / 59% | Target Field 51% |
| Giants At Cardinals (7:45) | -102 / -104 | Blade Tidwell (3/7*) | Andre Pallante (7/10) | 52% / 48% | Busch 41% |
| Red Sox At Rangers (8:05) | -113 / +104 | Patrick Sandoval (8/10) | TBD | 51% / 59% | Globe Life 61% |
| Royals At Astros (8:10) | -108 / +115 | Michael Wacha (7/10) | Hunter Brown (9/10) | 50% / 54% | Daikin Park 51% |
| Padres At Rockies (8:40) | +135 / -138 | Walker Buehler (8/10) | Kyle Freeland (6/10) | 41% / 60% | Coors 69% |
| Mariners At Angels (9:38) | -117 / +113 | Logan Gilbert (6/10) | Ryan Johnson (8/10) | 55% / 50% | Angel Stadium 55% |
| Marlins At Diamondbacks (9:40) | -110 / -102 | Janson Junk (10/10) | Michael Soroka (8/10) | 42% / 53% | Chase 53% |
Rate stats: clean first = no first-inning run allowed, last 10 starts with the club (*fewer); team/park YRFI = games with a first-inning run by either side (league 50%). Trends describe the past; prices move by first pitch. Texas lists a TBD starter. 21+ where legal.
