The cheapest ticket to a big payout on any slate is a home run prop. Below are the bats we like in Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles, with the best price on each.
On the board for Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles: Pete Alonso, Mike Trout, Coby Mayo, Zach Neto, Gunnar Henderson, Christian Encarnacion-Strand are the hitters priced to go deep, each with the best price and book across 20+ sportsbooks below.
The board ranks by market price, not by our conviction — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. The tailable plays from real experts sit below it, and the same prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another, so the OddsShopper home run odds screen is where to check the live number.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (BAL) | +350 | Bet365 | 22.2% | 33 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | +398 | Kalshi | 20.1% | 32 |
| Coby Mayo (BAL) | +426 | NoVig | 19.0% | 31 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | +425 | Kalshi | 19.0% | 33 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | +456 | Kalshi | 18.0% | 32 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (BAL) | +460 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 17.9% | 31 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | +550 | Bet365 | 15.4% | 26 |
| Dylan Beavers (BAL) | +573 | Kalshi | 14.9% | 32 |
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The number that matters is the best price for the side you want, not who sits highest on the board — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. Compare each price to the rest of the field on the OddsShopper home run odds screen; when one book is a notably longer number than the others, that is where the line-shopping value is.
The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 4, 2026 · 01:20 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Oriole Park at Camden Yards: park index 105.9 · wind 5 mph.
- Pete Alonso (BAL) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 57% of what this starter throws · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence B)
- books: best +351 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +351 · Polymarket +257 · ProphetX +323 · NoVig +317
- Taylor Ward (BAL) — baseline power edge. (model confidence B)
- books: best +900 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +510 · NoVig +770
- Gunnar Henderson (BAL) — baseline power edge. (model confidence B)
- books: best +425 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +425 · Polymarket +337 · ProphetX +421 · NoVig +376
- Colton Cowser (BAL) — baseline power edge. (model confidence B)
- books: best +550 at Bet365
- Jackson Holliday (BAL) — baseline power edge. (model confidence B)
- books: best +700 at Bet365 | exchanges: ProphetX +617 · NoVig +567
- Dylan Beavers (BAL) — bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips. (model confidence C)
- books: best +500 at TheScore | exchanges: Polymarket +434 · ProphetX +485 · NoVig +471
- Leody Taveras (BAL) — this starter's mix is the awkward kind for him. (model confidence C)
- books: best +750 at Bet365 | exchanges: ProphetX +617 · NoVig +641
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- JediModi on Tails likes Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+323). Bet now → DraftKings
- Nothin' But Dingers on Tails likes Josh Lowe Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+900). Bet now → Bet365
- MisterMarkot on Tails likes Grayson Rodriguez Under 16.5 Total Pitching Outs (+105).
More from these experts on Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles. JediModi, MisterMarkot post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox · Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs · Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves · Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals · New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians · Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks · San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers · St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees . The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 20+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. The matchup matters far less than the price: OddsShopper reads the sharp sportsbooks that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays across every market at the click of a button — no hours of research, and no deep knowledge of the sport required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results, so you can see how the number has actually performed before you bet. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles today? Pete Alonso at +350 (Bet365) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
