The Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins home run board is below — every priced bat, with the book that paid the most on each.
On the board for Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins: Kyle Schwarber, Byron Buxton, Kody Clemens, Bryce Harper, Royce Lewis, Josh Bell are the hitters priced to go deep, each with the best price and book across 20+ sportsbooks below.
The board ranks by market price, not by our conviction — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. The tailable plays from real experts sit below it, and the same prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another, so the OddsShopper home run odds screen is where to check the live number.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | +283 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 26.1% | 37 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | +319 | Polymarket 🎁 | 23.9% | 31 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | +402 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 19.9% | 35 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | +465 | Polymarket 🎁 | 17.7% | 36 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | +500 | Bet365 | 16.7% | 34 |
| Josh Bell (MIN) | +507 | DraftKings 🎁 | 16.5% | 29 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | +625 | Bet365 | 13.8% | 34 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | +630 | FanDuel 🎁 | 13.7% | 36 |
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The number that matters is the best price for the side you want, not who sits highest on the board — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. Compare each price to the rest of the field on the OddsShopper home run odds screen; when one book is a notably longer number than the others, that is where the line-shopping value is.
The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 13, 2026 · 02:55 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Field of Dreams: park index 90.2 · wind 5 mph.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 40% of what this starter throws · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +266 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +266 · Polymarket +257 · ProphetX +265 · NoVig +264
- Bryce Harper (PHI) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 40% of what this starter throws · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +465 at Polymarket | exchanges: Kalshi +456 · Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +441 · NoVig +426
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +400 at TheScore | exchanges: Polymarket +381 · ProphetX +363 · NoVig +400
- Josh Bell (MIN) — punishes curveballs, and that is 29% of what this starter throws · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +507 at DraftKings | exchanges: Polymarket +500 · ProphetX +402 · NoVig +506
- Royce Lewis (MIN) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +500 at Bet365 | exchanges: Polymarket +500 · ProphetX +426 · NoVig +471
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) — bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +625 at Bet365 | exchanges: ProphetX +510 · NoVig +590
- Trea Turner (PHI) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +650 at Bet365 | exchanges: Kalshi +625 · Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +529 · NoVig +614
- Brandon Marsh (PHI) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +700 at Bet365 | exchanges: ProphetX +598 · NoVig +700
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes these plays:
- EskoBets on Tails likes 3-leg parlay on this game (+2030). Bet now
- EMac on Tails likes Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-102). Bet now
- CDR Betting on Tails likes Minnesota Twins +1.5 Run Line (-178). Bet now
- The Bet Baba on Tails likes 3-leg parlay on this game (+431). Bet now → DraftKings
- Stokastic MLB Prop Tool on Tails likes Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+637). Bet now → Polymarket
- PrizePick Champions on Tails likes Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Total Strikeouts (-122). Bet now → PrizePicks
More from these experts on Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins. CDR Betting, EskoBets , PrizePick Champions , The Bet Baba post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays · Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals · Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers · Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 20+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. The matchup matters far less than the price: OddsShopper reads the sharp sportsbooks that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays across every market at the click of a button — no hours of research, and no deep knowledge of the sport required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results, so you can see how the number has actually performed before you bet. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment: Start your free trial.
