Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Home Run Picks Today (8/5)
A home run prop lives and dies on the number, so the price matters as much as the pick. Here are the bombs worth backing in Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers.
On the board for Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers: Esmerlyn Valdez, Jake Bauers, Brandon Lowe, Gary Sánchez, Bryan Reynolds, Jackson Chourio are the hitters priced to go deep, each with the best price and book across 20+ sportsbooks below.
This is the full home run board for the game — the information, not a staff pick. We are not choosing your bet; the expert picks below are real plays you can tail, and our job is to get you the best number on whatever you back. "To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 home runs market; take the best available price on the OddsShopper home run odds screen, since the same prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another — real money on a play you already like.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) | +400 | NoVig | 20.0% | 34 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | +425 | PointsBet | 19.0% | 7 |
| Brandon Lowe (PIT) | +495 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 16.8% | 35 |
| Gary Sánchez (MIL) | +500 | FanDuel 🎁 | 16.7% | 3 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | +534 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 15.8% | 36 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | +550 | Bet365 | 15.4% | 33 |
| Marcell Ozuna (PIT) | +568 | ProphetX | 15.0% | 10 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | +676 | ProphetX | 12.9% | 32 |
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Which of these prices is actually +EV? OS Pro flags the edges on this exact board — free 7-day trial, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
The number that matters is the best price for the side you want, not who sits highest on the board — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. Compare each price to the rest of the field on the OddsShopper home run odds screen; when one book is a notably longer number than the others, that is where the line-shopping value is.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- BiscoBets on Tails likes Paul Skenes Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts (-125). Bet now → Novig
- Smart System on Tails likes Logan Henderson Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts (-107). Bet now → DraftKings
- ShanderBets on Tails (#4 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes William Contreras Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160). Bet now
- FOTP on Tails likes Pittsburgh Pirates Under 3.5 Total Runs 5I (+114).
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes these plays:
- Under 8.5 Total Runs (-160) Bet now
- Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline (-138) Bet now
- Prophet on Tails (#3 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Pittsburgh Pirates Under 0.5 Total Runs 1I (-125).
- MisterMarkot on Tails likes Logan Henderson Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts (+117). Bet now → ProphetX
More from these experts on Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers. BiscoBets, FOTP, MisterMarkot, Prophet, Rebel Mickie, Smart System post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox · Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners · Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles · Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves · Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals · New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians · Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds · San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks · San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers · St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies · . The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 20+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. The matchup matters far less than the price: OddsShopper reads the sharp sportsbooks that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays across every market at the click of a button — no hours of research, and no deep knowledge of the sport required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results, so you can see how the number has actually performed before you bet. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers today? Esmerlyn Valdez at +400 (NoVig) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
