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Best PrizePicks NBA Props: Marvin Bagley Steadily Improving

The NBA season rolls on tonight with an action-packed three-game slate. The prime matchup will take place in Denver, where Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets will face Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Also, the red-hot Los Angeles Lakers are set to square off against the Cleveland Cavaliers and their All-Star backcourt. Below, bettors can check out some of the best NBA player props and bets to make over on PrizePicks.

PrizePicks NBA Player Props | Dec. 6

Nikola Jokic Under 11.5 Rebounds

While Jokic has looked good at certain points this season, it’s fair to say that he hasn’t consistently produced like most fans expect. He is averaging 10.1 boards per game, and he has recorded 12 or more rebounds in just 4 of 13 games since the beginning of November. Tonight he will face the Mavericks, who are allowing the third-fewest rebounds per game to the center position (12.34 rebounds per game) this season. Dallas also plays at the slowest pace in the NBA, which limits statistical opportunities for opposing teams almost every game.

It’s worth noting that the Mavericks completely depend on Luka Doncic to avoid getting blown out, so if he’s not having a fantastic game, then there is certainly blowout risk. That could limit Jokic’s minutes and rebounding opportunities. That’s just another factor that should push gamblers towards the under on a line that already seems inflated. Using OddsShopper’s tools, bettors will find that this play at -135 on DraftKings, with a 59% chance to win.

Marvin Bagley III Over 11.5 Points

Since he returned to the lineup, Marvin Bagley III has played well for the Pistons. He’s averaged 12.9 points per game over the 12-game span and has played 20 or more minutes in each game except for his very first game back. Bagley has recorded 12 or more points in 8 of 11 games since that his return, good for a 73% hit rate. He’s also averaging over nine field goal attempts per game and has attempted up to 12 shots in numerous games.

Tonight the Pistons will face the Heat, who are allowing 21.40 points per game to opposing power forwards this season. Numerous secondary players at the power forward position have had 12 points or more against Miami this year, including Rui HachimuraGrant WilliamsJaden McDanielsSanti Aldama and John Collins. Bagley is just as capable of scoring as any of those players, which makes this bet that much more enticing. Using the OddsShopper tools, bettors will find that this bet is listed at -115 on PointsBet.

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