NFL Week 16 goes full-speed on Saturday with 11 games on Christmas Eve. With playoff spots up for grabs, several teams provide good value among the best Week 16 bets for the weekend.
Three of our experts are locked in with their best bets on Saturday. Ben Rasa, Dave ‘Loughy’ Loughran and Isaiah Sirois have four total bets to consider.
Be sure to check out our OddsShopper tool for the best NFL odds.
Best Best for Saturay, NFL Week 16
Ben Rasa: Ravens -6.5 (-105, DraftKings)
The Baltimore Ravens definitely have hit some turbulence due to injuries, but they remain firmly in the hunt for the AFC playoffs and maybe the AFC North title. Tyler Huntley is going to be the quarterback, but the Ravens get the Atlanta Falcons outside the dome in what could be some tough conditions in Baltimore. The Ravens are third in rushing yards allowed per attempt, and the Falcons are making rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder learn on the fly. For the Ravens to make a deep postseason run, it seems like they’ll need Lamar Jackson to return, but for a game like this, they should control from start to finish. Looking at OddsShopper, we can find -6.5 on the board and are comfortable with anything inside a touchdown here.
Isaiah Sirois: Broncos -3 (-110, DraftKings)
Betting on the Denver Broncos is like going to the dentist. It’s unpleasant, no one wants to do it, but you feel better after it’s done. The Broncos have covered the spread in their past three games and are a good bet to keep that streak alive. Their defense, which ranks fourth in yards allowed per play, hasn’t slowed down despite elimination from the AFC playoff race. Head coach Nathaniel Hackett needs to justify his job somehow, after all. With quarterback Russell Wilson and wide receiver Courtland Sutton back from injury this week, Denver’s offense should do just enough to cover against a Los Angeles Rams defense that won’t have Aaron Donald.
Dave Loughran: Lions -2.5 (-110, Caesars Sportsbook)
The Carolina Panthers are the type of team that either establishes the run and they stay competitive, or they don’t and they completely implode. The Detroit Lions, believe it or not, have put the clamps on opposing rushing games. In the past two games, they allowed 72 rushing yards combined, and have allowed fewer than 100 yards in four of their past five. Detroit is humming right now and has a legitimate shot to make the playoffs in the NFC. Maybe this is a trap spot, but you can still get the Lions inside a field goal. If they just slow down the run game of the Panthers, the Lions offense is potent enough to win by a field goal-plus.
For more of Loughy’s picks, check out his video covering EVERY game on the slate!
Isaiah Sirois: Travis Kelce Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)
Only three teams have allowed more receiving yards per game to tight ends than the Seattle Seahawks this season (61.2), and George Kittle went for an easy 93 and two scores against them last week. The Seahawks invested in a pair of solid cornerbacks in this year’s NFL Draft — boundary defender Tariq Woolen and slot specialist Coby Bryant — but their success has led opponents to throw to tight ends and running backs. With Kelce averaging 81.7 receiving yards per game for the Kansas City Chiefs, BetMGM is handing bettors a great deal by setting this line at 76.5.
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Eric Lindquist: Travis Kelce Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)
Travis Kelce is unquestionably Patrick Mahomes’ No. 1 option in the Kansas City Chiefs offense, entering Sunday with an absurd 91 catches for over 1100 yards. And now, he draws a Seattle Seahawks team that is incapable of stopping tight ends, allowing 65.6 receiving yards per game to the position (30th in NFL). So while the wind and cold has dropped this number below Kelce’s 81.7 yards per game average, the matchup and projected target share have this number sitting far too low for my liking.
