Twins vs Padres Today: First Pitch, Pitchers & Moneyline
First pitch Sun 4:10 PM ET. On the mound: Bailey Ober (Twins) vs Walker Buehler (Padres). Moneyline: Twins +125 (Fanatics) at Padres -134 (FanDuel) — best prices across 12 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (+331) and Byron Buxton (+351) lead tonight's Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres home run prices — the full board and the best number on each swing is below.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | +331 | Kalshi | 23.2% | 25 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | +351 | Kalshi | 22.2% | 23 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | +410 | BookMaker | 19.6% | 24 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | +425 | Kalshi | 19.0% | 24 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | +460 | BookMaker | 17.9% | 22 |
| Ty France (SD) | +500 | BookMaker | 16.7% | 23 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | +539 | ProphetX | 15.6% | 20 |
| Luis Campusano (SD) | +550 | Bet365 | 15.4% | 3 |
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Tonight's slate has 15 boards like this one — every game gets the same best-price treatment, ranked in the MLB Home Run Picks hub. Fernando Tatis Jr. at +331 is where this game's board starts; the hub shows where that price sits against the whole league tonight.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- BGrebbs on Tails (#3 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes these plays:
- SEvansBets on Tails likes these plays:
- OS Lottos on Tails likes Casey Mize Under 17.5 Total Pitching Outs (+100). Bet now
- KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS on Tails likes San Diego Padres Moneyline (-135). Bet now
- MoneyBall Metrics on Tails (#7 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes San Diego Padres Moneyline (-134). Bet now
- EdgeAI Plus on Tails (#4 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes San Diego Padres Moneyline (-134). Bet now → DraftKings
- DFSnDonuts Picks on Tails (#4 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Under 0.5 Total Runs 1I (-112). Bet now → Kalshi
- JediModi on Tails likes these plays:
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Total Batter Strikeouts (-115). Bet now → TheScore
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes Luis Rengifo Under 0.5 Total Hits (+195). Bet now → Polymarket
More from these experts on Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres. BGrebbs, DFSnDonuts Picks, EdgeAI Plus, JediModi, KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS, SEvansBets post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners · Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies · Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals · Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers · New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox · Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers · San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres today? Fernando Tatis Jr. at +331 (Kalshi) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
