Pirates vs Dodgers Today: First Pitch, Pitchers & Moneyline
First pitch Sun 4:10 PM ET. On the mound: Lake Bachar (Pirates) vs Blake Snell (Dodgers). Moneyline: Pirates +250 (HardRock) at Dodgers -245 (Fanatics) — best prices across 6 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
The Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers board opens with Shohei Ohtani at +257 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy (OAK) | +228 | Pick6 | 30.5% | 1 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | +257 | Polymarket 🎁 | 28.0% | 37 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | +319 | Polymarket 🎁 | 23.9% | 35 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | +471 | NoVig | 17.5% | 37 |
| Henry Davis (PIT) | +500 | BetOnline | 16.7% | 1 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) | +529 | Kalshi | 15.9% | 36 |
| Teoscar Hernández (LAD) | +529 | Kalshi | 15.9% | 37 |
| Kyle Tucker (LAD) | +550 | Bet365 | 15.4% | 37 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 23, 2026 · 03:25 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium: park index 116.9 · wind 9 mph.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — punishes four-seam fastballs 15% of the time, and that is 22% of what this starter throws · 18% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · 90° air. (model confidence A)
- books: best +235 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +235
- Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — 90° air · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence C)
- books: best +488 at NoVig | exchanges: NoVig +488
- Max Muncy (LAD) — punishes four-seam fastballs 15% of the time, and that is 22% of what this starter throws · 38% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · 90° air. (model confidence A)
- books: best +299 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +299
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — 29% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · 90° air. (model confidence A)
- books: best +525 at Fanatics
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) — 90° air. (model confidence A)
- books: best +510 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +510
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — 16% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · 90° air · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence A)
- books: best +436 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +436
- Bryan Reynolds (PIT) — homers every 36 PA against lefties · 90° air. (model confidence A)
- books: best +550 at Fanatics
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) — 30% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 31 PA against righties · 90° air. (model confidence A)
- books: best +529 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +529
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- WallStBetsVegas on Tails likes Blake Snell Under 17.5 Total Pitching Outs (+140). Bet now → Bet365
- MassMoneyline on Tails likes Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Run Line (-124). Bet now
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes these plays:
- KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS on Tails likes Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline (-270). Bet now
- FOTP on Tails (#7 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Los Angeles Dodgers -0.5 Run Line 1st5 (-145). Bet now
- Stokastic MLB Prop Tool on Tails likes Max Muncy Over 0.5 Total Hits (+105). Bet now → Bet365
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes Tarik Skubal Under 8.5 Total Strikeouts (-130). Bet now
- DFSnDonuts Picks on Tails likes Tarik Skubal Under 8.5 Total Strikeouts (-120). Bet now → DraftKings
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes these plays:
- JediModi on Tails likes Max Muncy Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+345).
- Nothin' But Dingers on Tails (#9 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Max Muncy Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+608).
- MisterMarkot on Tails (#8 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes these plays:
More from these experts on Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers. DFSnDonuts Picks, FOTP, JediModi, KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS, MassMoneyline, MisterMarkot, Rebel Mickie post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners · Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies · Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers · Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
