What if you could run a football game thousands of times instead of once?
Seahawks-Broncos kicks off Thursday night and we get exactly one version of it. One final score, one box score, one guy who catches the touchdown and one who gets tackled at the 2. Then everyone spends Friday acting like that was the only way it could have gone.
Stokastic's Sims play the same game 10,000 times before it starts. Some of those games are 13-10 and some are shootouts. Add them up and you stop having one guess about Thursday. You have the whole spread of what could happen and how often each thing does.
Ask the Sims is the search bar on top of those 10,000 games. You type a question the way you'd text it to a friend, and it counts how many of the games went that way. Then it puts that count next to the live price on Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings or FanDuel. It works before kickoff and it keeps updating once the game is live.
Leading up to kickoff, people ask the Sims thousands of questions. I took some of the most popular ones about Seahawks-Broncos and broke down what came back. Each one is shown exactly as it was typed.
Ask the Sims your own Seahawks-Broncos question. It's free and takes about a second.
All answers captured from Ask the Sims on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 8:11 PM ET.
One Game Has a Final Score. Ten Thousand Games Have a Shape.
Asked on KalshiWhats the final score
Somebody asked the question every fan actually wants answered. The Sims gave a straight answer and then explained why it isn't much of one. Seattle wins 56.7% of the 10,000 games and Denver wins 42.1%. The typical final is Seahawks 21, Broncos 20.
The most common exact score is 20-17 Seattle, and it shows up in 1.0% of the games. That is 100 out of 10,000 for the single likeliest result. The tool says it in plain words under the list: no exact score is likely.
The list still tells you a lot about the night. All five of the most common scores have the losing team on 17 and the margin at a touchdown or less. The Sims expect a close, low-scoring game, and every answer below comes out of those same 10,000 games.
A Seattle Win by Exactly a Field Goal Shows Up in 5.7% of the Games
Asked on KalshiSeahawks win by 3+
Seattle wins by 3 or more in 5,245 of the 10,000 games, which is 52.4%. Kalshi sells that at 53.7¢. The count and the price are nearly the same number, and the tool labels it fair value.
The answer doesn't stop at the line you asked about. It also shows Seahawks by 4 or more, which happens in 46.7% of the games and costs 43.7¢. Put the two side by side and you can see something a single line never shows you. The difference between the two bets is the games Seattle wins by exactly 3. That happens 5.7% of the time, and the market charges 10¢ for it.
This is what a distribution gets you that one prediction can't. You can see how much each individual point of margin is worth, and whether the price agrees. Run this one yourself to see where it sits now.
The Most-Asked Question on the Board
Asked three times in two hoursJaxon Smith Njigba to score a touchdown
Three different people asked this on Tuesday evening. One typed the full sentence, one typed "Smith-Njigba TD" and one typed "Jsn scores." The tool read all three the same way and gave the same answer. He scores in 5,186 of the 10,000 games, or 51.9%. Kalshi has it at 48.7¢.
Every answer also works as a short research note on the player. This one shows his 2+ touchdown line (14.2% in the Sims, 12.7¢ on Kalshi). It shows that his touchdown and Sam Darnold throwing for 2+ scores hit together 44% more often than their prices imply. And it shows his 60+ receiving yards line, where the Sims and Kalshi are a tenth of a cent apart.
The numbers move, too. Eric Lindquist ran this same question earlier in the day for his full guide to Ask the Sims and got 52.8% against 47.7¢. The Sims get re-run and the prices change, so the same question can come back a little different a few hours later.
Two Seahawks, One End Zone
Asked on DraftKingsHow often do Emanuel Wilson and Jaxon Smith-Njigba both score a touchdown?
This is where playing the game out matters most. Wilson scores in about 46% of the Sims and Smith-Njigba scores in about 52%. If the two had nothing to do with each other, you'd multiply and expect both to score 23.7% of the time.
The Sims counted 2,198 games where both scored, which is 22.0%. Each of those games has a full box score, so the count already knows what the multiplication doesn't. A Seattle offense that typically lands on 21 points doesn't have many touchdowns to hand out, and these two are competing for them.
The answer card breaks the parlay down leg by leg, with the Sims price and the DraftKings price for each player on his own and then for the two together. It also offers the obvious follow-ups: the same question if the Seahawks win, and the same question if the Broncos win.
Sometimes the Honest Answer Is a Coin Flip
Asked on FanDuelCortland Sutton over 32 receiving yards
The tool read through the spelling and found Courtland Sutton. He clears 32 receiving yards in 5,070 of the 10,000 games, which is 50.7%. FanDuel prices it at -114, which works out to 53.3%.
Then it kept going without being asked. It checked his 30+ yard line. It checked him paired with Bo Nix throwing for 250, which hit together 40% more often than their prices imply. It went through the rest of his FanDuel props and pulled out his best-priced line. All of that came back from six words and a typo.
A lot of answers look like this one. The Sims aren't trying to hand you a pick. They tell you how often the thing happens, and sometimes that is half the time.
Ask It Your Own Question
These five were other people's questions. The Sims will take yours, on any game on the NFL slate, and the answer comes back in about a second. Ask the Sims about Seahawks-Broncos before Thursday, or pull it up once the game is live and ask again.
