Ben Rasa
Betting Expert, OddsShopper
Ben Rasa is a sports betting expert at OddsShopper who focuses on finding +EV edges across the betting markets. He breaks down the strategy and the numbers behind smart bets, from the World Cup to the major U.S. sports.
Articles by Ben Rasa
Oregon vs. USC Prediction: The Stakes Couldn't Be Higher
Oregon already has one loss and can't survive another. USC is 4-0 and still needs a marquee win. Pick how you think Saturday at the Coliseum plays out.
Ole Miss vs. Florida Prediction: The Week After Kiffin
No. 4 Ole Miss comes off a week it will never forget and heads straight into its first true road trip, against a Florida team that runs on everyone and lets no one run on it. Pick your script.
Texas vs. Tennessee Prediction: No. 1 Hasn't Left Austin Yet
No. 1 Texas makes its first road trip to Neyland. Pick how you think Saturday plays out, and see what the market says and the best way to bet it.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Picks: One Goal In Eight Games
Tottenham and Aston Villa have one Premier League goal between them in eight matches. Their expected goals say that doesn't last, and the exchanges agree: Over 2.5 goals is the favorite.
Houston vs Texas Tech Picks: A Stat That Looks Like A Typo
0.43 yards a carry. Houston's first two opponents ran 47 times for 20 yards, the best run defense in the country, and it heads to Lubbock Friday night. Texas Tech opened as a 12.5-point favorite. It's 7.5 now.
Florida State vs. Alabama Prediction: Revenge in Tuscaloosa
Florida State shocked Alabama last August in Tallahassee. A year later, the Tide's opponents are 1 of 23 on third down and the run game that decided that night has switched sides.
Michigan vs. Oklahoma Prediction: 5 Week 1 Stats to Believe, and 5 to Ignore
One Saturday moved this line a full touchdown, on a Michigan escape against Western Michigan and an Oklahoma shutout of UTEP. Most of what moved it doesn't carry to Ann Arbor.
Ohio State Lost Four Top-11 Picks. Texas Went Shopping.
Four Buckeyes went inside the top 11 picks of the NFL draft, three of them off the defense that held Arch Manning to 170 yards last September. Texas spent the offseason buying Manning a new supporting cast. Kalshi still has this rematch at a coin flip.
SMU Vs Florida State Picks: A Labor Day ACC Showdown
Florida State has one game of tape and 62 new faces who could be great or could be lost. SMU has a fifth-year quarterback, a fifth-year coach, and no tape at all. Ben Rasa breaks down which way to go in this ACC clash.
Colorado Vs Georgia Tech Picks: Two Untested QBs, One Team That Can Run
Georgia Tech starts a quarterback with 19 career completions. Colorado starts one with two career starts. Ben Rasa lays 6.5 on Kalshi on the team whose fallback plan is a top-25 running game, and prices both ways this could go.
Oklahoma State Vs Tulsa Picks: Does The No. 1 Offense Show Up On Day One?
The nation's No. 1 offense moved to Stillwater with its quarterback, running back and playcaller. Week 1 asks how fast a system travels, in either direction.
The Citadel Vs Charlotte Picks: How Bad Is The Citadel, Actually?
Ben Rasa lays Charlotte -20.5 on Kalshi at 50 cents, and the whole bet is one question: is The Citadel as bad as its 42-14 loss at Wofford looked?
Baylor Vs Auburn Picks: Auburn Took Baylor's Best Back, And I'm Laying 7.5
The college football spread crossed 7 and Auburn is a whole new team: new regime, the nation's No. 9 portal class, five new offensive linemen.
Oregon State Vs Houston Picks: Why 20.5 Is Not Enough
Houston brought back 12 starters and all three coordinators from a 10-3 team that ended last season beating LSU.
NC State Vs Virginia Odds: Kalshi Wins One Side Only
NC State vs Virginia odds run through Kalshi and the sportsbooks at different prices, and the cheaper Week 0 venue depends entirely on the side you want.
San Jose State Vs USC Odds: Kalshi's Week 0 Trapdoor
San Jose State at No. 14 USC is the most lopsided game of college football Week 0, and the Kalshi board around it is the most instructive market of the weekend. Ben Rasa runs the fee math on the near-certain favorite, the longshot ticket, and a spread ladder almost nobody has traded.
TCU Vs North Carolina: The Belichick Rematch On Kalshi
TCU vs North Carolina in Dublin is the deepest of the three Week 0 college football games on our card. I convert both sides to American odds, subtract the Kalshi fee, and pick a venue for each side.
Spirit Vs Legacy CS2 Odds: Kalshi Has Spirit At 76%
Spirit vs Legacy Kalshi odds for the Esports World Cup CS2 semifinal: Spirit 76¢, Legacy 25¢, the map-veto tell, and the third-map angle.
US Open Tennis 2026 Odds: 20 Withdrawals, And The Favorite Got Cheaper
Twenty US Open tennis withdrawals for 2026, Jannik Sinner to Emma Raducanu, and a Kalshi winner board that charged less for Carlos Alcaraz once Sinner left.
Falcons Vs MongolZ CS2 Odds: Kalshi Fades The 2025 Champs
Falcons vs The MongolZ prediction and Kalshi odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 Round of 16, and why the defending champions are heavy underdogs.
FURIA Vs Aurora CS2 Odds & Prediction: Kalshi Round Of 16
FURIA vs Aurora CS2 odds and prediction for the Esports World Cup 2026 Round of 16: the live Kalshi line, three straight sweeps, and the Mirage veto collision.
FUT Vs MOUZ CS2 Preview: Why FUT Might Have MOUZs Number
FUT vs MOUZ CS2 odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 quarterfinal: MOUZ 60 cents on Kalshi, FUT 40, yet FUT have won the last three meetings. Veto, form, angle.
NaVi Vs Legacy CS2 Odds: Legacy Won Both, Kalshi Backs NaVi
NaVi vs Legacy prediction and Kalshi odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 Round of 16, and why NaVi is favored over the team that beat them twice in 2026.
Vitality Vs Spirit CS2 Odds: Kalshi's Closest Price
Vitality vs Spirit prediction and Kalshi odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 quarterfinal: Vitality 57¢, Spirit 44¢, over 2.5 maps 49¢.
B8 Vs Spirit CS2 Odds: Spirit Heavy Favorites: Kalshi Odds
B8 vs Spirit CS2 odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 Round of 16: Spirit's win contract is quoted 80 to 81 cents, B8's 19 to 20. The veto, the form, and the.
Esports World Cup CS2 Bracket: Kalshi Favors Vitality
Esports World Cup CS2 playoff bracket and odds: Vitality, Falcons and Spirit stacked in one half of Kalshi's 16-team Paris bracket, Aug. 19-23.
FURIA Vs G2 CS2 Odds: Kalshi Favors FURIA At EWC 2026
FURIA vs G2 prediction and live Kalshi odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 quarterfinal: playoff form, the Mirage veto standoff, and the betting angle.
Team Spirit Vs Iron Wing Dota 2 Odds: Kalshi Doubts Yatoro
Team Spirit vs Iron Wing odds at TI 2026: Kalshi makes Yatoro's Spirit the underdog to the renamed ex-Tundra five. Why fans and the market split hard.
Vitality Vs FaZe CS2 Odds & Prediction: Kalshi Odds
Vitality vs FaZe prediction and Kalshi odds for the Esports World Cup CS2 Round of 16: Vitality 76¢, FaZe 25¢, over 2.5 maps 41¢.
FUT Esports vs Magic CS2 Odds: Kalshi's Ancient Problem
FUT Esports vs Magic prediction for today's Esports World Cup CS2 playoff: FUT 66¢, Magic 35¢ on Kalshi, both teams' form, the map veto, and the value read.
G2 Vs Astralis Odds: Esports World Cup CS2 Round Of 16
G2 vs Astralis odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 Round of 16: G2 trades at 66¢ on Kalshi, Astralis at 35¢, and the over 2.5 maps market sits at a.
GamerLegion vs MOUZ Odds: Upset Money Kalshi Won't Move
GamerLegion vs MOUZ prediction and odds for the Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 Round of 16: MOUZ 77¢ on Kalshi, GamerLegion 24¢, form, and the map veto read.
How To Bet On Horses: 6 Horse Racing Bet Types Explained
Learn how to bet on horses for beginners: win, place, and show, exacta and trifecta boxes, the daily double, and why pari-mutuel odds move after you bet.
Patrick Mahomes NFL Comeback Player: Kalshi Odds
Patrick Mahomes leads 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds at 36¢, but our AI model panel makes Daniel Jones 18% against a 7¢ price. Full 16-name board.
How To Bet MLB Home Run Props (And Find The Edge)
How to bet MLB home run props: read the price, not just the hitter. Use barrel rate, ISO, the pitcher's fastball, and park factors to find +EV home run bets.
Vitality Vs. B8 CS2 Odds: Esports World Cup Preview
Vitality vs. B8 CS2 odds for their Esports World Cup 2026 Group C match: Vitality sits near 88 cents, B8 around 13. Here's how the prediction market reads this.
ACC Championship Odds: The 2-10 Team Kalshi Keeps Buying
Miami's price leads the ACC board, but the gap back to Clemson and Georgia Tech is thinner than it looks. Every contender priced for the 2026 race.
SEC Championship Odds 2026: Georgia, Texas And The 16-Team Kalshi Board
Kalshi has Georgia at 26¢ and Texas at 22¢ to win the 2026 SEC Championship. Six AI models scored all 16 teams price-blind and split the dime tier behind them.
Inter Miami Vs Atletico San Luis Odds: Leagues Cup Preview
Inter Miami vs Atletico San Luis odds for the 2026 Leagues Cup opener: live Kalshi prediction market prices, both teams broken down, and the draw wrinkle.
Toluca Vs Seattle Sounders Odds: Leagues Cup Preview
Toluca vs Seattle Sounders odds for the first Leagues Cup match in Mexico: live Kalshi prices, both cases, and the 90-minute settlement rule.
CS2 Odds: How Kalshi Prices Every Counter-Strike Market
CS2 odds, decoded: how Counter-Strike match winner, map winner, and total maps markets price a series in cents, and how the map veto moves every number.
Dota 2 Odds: Match & Map Betting Lines Explained
Dota 2 odds and betting lines for every match and map, decoded: what a single cent means in American odds, and how to read the board before you trade.
Rainbow Six Odds: R6 Match Winner Prediction Markets
Rainbow Six odds on Kalshi: how R6 Siege match winner markets price, today's Esports World Cup board, and how to trade a thin esports market well.
Team Liquid Vs Vici Gaming Odds: Dota 2 Prediction Markets
Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming odds for today's Dota 2 series at 1win Essence II: live Polymarket prices, the 2026 head-to-head trend.
College Football Undefeated Odds: Kalshi's Board Runs Rich
Five AI models scored the 2026 college football undefeated odds on Kalshi price-blind: they fade the whole board, hitting Notre Dame and Texas Tech hardest.
Premier League Winner Odds 2026-27: Arsenal Favored At 37¢
Premier League winner odds 2026-27 on Kalshi: Arsenal favored at 37¢. Our six-model AI panel backs Arsenal, leans up City, and fades Chelsea hard.
What Does To Advance Mean? World Cup Betting Guide
What does to advance mean in soccer betting? Reaching the next round, extra time and penalties included. This World Cup betting guide explains every market.
Virginia Tech Win Total 2026: CFB Over 6.5 Wins
Virginia Tech win total 2026: why the Over 6.5 regular-season wins at -150 is still value, with James Franklin, his Penn State portal adds, and a soft opening.
Rocket Classic First Round Leader Odds: A Wide-Open Board
Rocket Classic first round leader odds: an 8-model AI panel prices all 147 golfers at the new par-70 Detroit Golf Club and shows where it splits from Kalshi.
BLAST Bounty 2026 Winner Odds: Best CS2 Value
BLAST Bounty 2026 winner odds make Team Spirit a near coin flip on Kalshi, but the best CS2 futures value sits two rows down the board.
Heisman Trophy Odds 2026: The One Price The Market Hasn't Moved
Kickoff week on the Kalshi Heisman board: 36 names, CJ Carr still the market's favorite at 11.5¢, and a price-blind AI panel that keeps crowning Julian Sayin at the one top-ten price that has not moved since July.
NBA Betting Lines Explained: Spreads, Totals & Moneylines
NBA betting lines explained for beginners: how point spreads, moneylines, and totals work, how to read the plus and minus, and how to shop the best number.
2026 US Open Betting Preview: Odds, Field And Value
A 2026 US Open betting preview for Shinnecock: the market's win and make-cut odds, where the value and the traps sit, and how to actually bet a golf major.
How To Win At NBA Betting: A Beginner's Guide
Learn how to win at NBA betting: every bet type explained for beginners, from point spreads and moneylines to player props and same game parlays.
Oklahoma State Win Total 2026: Bet The Over 5.5 Wins
Oklahoma State's 2026 college football win total is 5.5 with the over near -166. Here is why new coach Eric Morris and a loaded portal make the over my bet.
2026 US Open Picks: 3 Outright Bets at Shinnecock
My 3 US Open 2026 outright bets at Shinnecock Hills: Fleetwood, Fitzpatrick, and Hatton. Here's the case for each and how to find the best price before you bet.
2026 US Open Bets: Matsuyama and Aberg at Shinnecock
Two more 2026 US Open bets at Shinnecock Hills: Hideki Matsuyama to top the Japanese market and Ludvig Aberg to finish Top 10. Here's the case for each.
World Cup Futures Picks: Ivory Coast, Colombia, Japan
Three more 2026 World Cup futures picks from Ben Rasa: Ivory Coast top African team, Colombia to reach the semifinals, and Japan to win Group F.
3 World Cup Futures Bets With Real Value (2026)
Three 2026 World Cup futures bets with real value: Colombia to win Group K at +225, England to lift the trophy at +700, and a USA Round of 16 run.
