What if you could watch Jaxon Smith-Njigba's Thursday night ten thousand times before it happens?
On Thursday he gets one game. Maybe he catches nine balls for 120 and a score. Maybe Denver takes him away and he finishes with four for 41. Whatever happens, that one box score is what everyone remembers on Friday.
Stokastic's Sims play Seahawks-Broncos 10,000 times before kickoff, and every one of those games has a full box score for Smith-Njigba. Ask the Sims lets you search them. You type a question the way you'd text it to a friend, and it counts how many of the 10,000 games went that way. Then it puts that count next to the price on Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings or FanDuel.
Fans have asked the Sims about Smith-Njigba all week. His touchdowns and his receiving yards are the two things they've asked about him most, and the third question below asks for both at once. Each one is shown exactly as it was typed.
Ask the Sims your own Smith-Njigba question. It's free and takes about a second.
All answers captured from Ask the Sims on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 8:28 PM ET.
One Touchdown, Two Touchdowns, Three
Asked on KalshiJaxon smith-njigba td? how about 2 td's?
This fan asked two questions in one breath, and the Sims answered both plus one nobody asked. Instead of picking a single line, it laid out every Smith-Njigba touchdown contract Kalshi lists, sorted by how far the Sims sit from the price.
He scores at least once in 52.0% of the 10,000 games. Kalshi has it at 48.7¢. Two or more touchdowns happens in 13.9% of the games against 12.7¢, and three or more in 2.3% against 2.1¢.
Read down the list and you can see how fast it falls off. One touchdown is a coin flip. A second one shows up in about one game out of seven. Three happens about once every 43 games. That's what the whole picture looks like for one player. It isn't just whether he scores, it's how often each version of his night happens. Ask this one yourself to see where it sits now.
Kalshi Doesn't Sell 75 Yards, So the Sims Showed the Lines Around It
Asked on KalshiJsn 75 plus yards
He gets to 75 receiving yards in 6,586 of the 10,000 games, which is 65.9%. In sportsbook odds, that's -193.
Kalshi doesn't list a 75-yard contract, so the tool showed the three closest lines it does list: 60+ yards (77.4% in the Sims, 81.1¢ on Kalshi), 70+ yards (69.7% against 72.4¢) and 80+ yards (61.8% against 64.6¢).
Those lines show something one number can't. Between 70 and 80 yards, his chances drop about eight points, a little under one point per yard. If you have a number in your head for him, you can see roughly what each extra yard costs. You can also see that on all three lines, Kalshi's price sits a few cents above how often the Sims see it happen.
His Touchdown and His 100-Yard Game Show Up Together
Asked on KalshiHow often does jsn score a touchdown with 100 plus yards
On their own, he scores in 52.0% of the games and reaches 100 receiving yards in 44.3%. If those two had nothing to do with each other, you'd multiply them and expect both 23.0% of the time.
The Sims counted 2,971 games where he did both, which is 29.7%. The two go together. A game where he's piling up 100 yards is a game where the ball keeps finding him, and that's the game where he's most likely to find the end zone. Across the 10,000 Sims, he scores in about two-thirds of his 100-yard games and in about four of every ten of the rest.
The card prices it as a Kalshi combo too. Kalshi's market makers would likely quote the pair around 27.5¢, and each leg is shown on its own next to its Kalshi price. It also offers the two follow-ups worth asking: the same question if the Seahawks win, and the same question if the Broncos win.
Ask It Your Own Question
These were three fans' questions about one player. You can ask about anyone on either roster, any line and any combination, and the answer comes back in about a second. Ask the Sims about Seahawks-Broncos before kickoff, then pull it up once the game is live and ask again.
For five more fan questions on this game, from the final score to Courtland Sutton's yards, read What If Seahawks-Broncos Was Played 10,000 Times?
