The Quick Answer
This is Kalshi's "Tour Championship: Top 10 Finishers" board as it stood on the morning of the final round, Sunday, August 30, 2026. The tournament has since finished and every contract on the board has settled, so read the prices below as a record of what the market believed with 18 holes left.
That morning Viktor Hovland led at 15 under and his contract was all but closed at 98/99. Ryan Gerard sat one back at 95/97, and Scottie Scheffler was 95/96 from a four-way tie for third.
The two men who moved the board were lower down. Collin Morikawa had shot 72 on Saturday, the joint-worst round in the field, and his contract fell from 78/80 on Friday night to 23/24. Rory McIlroy had shot 63, the low round of the day, and his contract climbed from 29/32 to 74/75. Twelve players sat at 9 under or better, so the top-10 window was already over-full before anyone teed off.
The Market At A Glance
| Where | Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange. Age minimums are set by the platform: Kalshi admits traders at 18+, and availability varies by state (as of August 2026) |
| The Event | "Tour Championship: Top 10 Finishers" (Kalshi event KXPGATOP10-TOC26), one yes/no contract per player, 30 contracts in all |
| The Contract | Each market resolves Yes and pays $1 if that player finishes the 2026 Tour Championship in the top 10, including ties |
| The Tournament | August 27 to 30, 2026, East Lake Golf Club (par 70), Atlanta, Georgia. The FedEx Cup finale: 30 players, no cut, everyone started at even par |
| The Companion Boards | The winner board (KXPGATOUR-TOC26), the top-5 board (KXPGATOP5-TOC26) and the top-20 board (KXPGATOP20-TOC26), plus the settled first round leader board and Round 1 stroke-lines board |
| Volume | 1,030,020 contracts traded lifetime as of the morning of August 30 |
| Prices Below As Of | Shortly before 10:00 a.m. ET on Sunday, August 30, 2026, with the third round complete and the final round not yet underway. The market has since settled on the final leaderboard |
New to Kalshi's yes/no contracts? Start here → how Kalshi's event markets work, and check where Kalshi is legal before you trade.
The Board Before The Final Round
Saturday moved the top-10 line to 9 under, where four men were tied for ninth. That put 12 players inside a window built for 10, and because the contract pays every tie at the full $1, all 12 would have cashed had the leaderboard frozen. It was never going to freeze, and the market said so: the four men on the line were priced as coin flips.
Here is the full board on the morning of the final round, the Yes bid and ask in cents next to the quote this page recorded on Friday night, with each man's position and 54-hole score per ESPN's leaderboard:
| Golfer | Bid / Ask Sunday Morning | Friday Night On This Page | Position | 54-Hole Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Hovland | 98¢ / 99¢ | 82¢ / 85¢ | 1st | 15 under (64-66-65) |
| Ryan Gerard | 95¢ / 97¢ | 78¢ / 79¢ | 2nd | 14 under (65-65-66) |
| Scottie Scheffler | 95¢ / 96¢ | 85¢ / 88¢ | T3 | 12 under (65-67-66) |
| Chris Gotterup | 87¢ / 89¢ | 75¢ / 76¢ | T3 | 12 under (64-67-67) |
| Ludvig Aberg | 87¢ / 89¢ | 58¢ / 61¢ | T3 | 12 under (65-68-65) |
| Adam Scott | 84¢ / 85¢ | 48¢ / 51¢ | T3 | 12 under (66-67-65) |
| Rory McIlroy | 74¢ / 75¢ | 29¢ / 32¢ | T7 | 10 under (68-69-63) |
| Cameron Young | 67¢ / 69¢ | 68¢ / 70¢ | T7 | 10 under (70-62-68) |
| Sam Burns | 54¢ / 57¢ | 50¢ / 52¢ | T9 | 9 under (66-68-67) |
| Russell Henley | 54¢ / 55¢ | 34¢ / 36¢ | T9 | 9 under (70-65-66) |
| Min Woo Lee | 42¢ / 44¢ | 24¢ / 25¢ | T9 | 9 under (62-73-66) |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 42¢ / 43¢ | 22¢ / 24¢ | T9 | 9 under (68-67-66) |
| Si Woo Kim | 35¢ / 36¢ | 18¢ / 19¢ | T13 | 8 under (69-68-65) |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 33¢ / 34¢ | 56¢ / 58¢ | T13 | 8 under (66-67-69) |
| Justin Rose | 29¢ / 30¢ | 45¢ / 48¢ | T13 | 8 under (68-65-69) |
| Wyndham Clark | 23¢ / 25¢ | 27¢ / 30¢ | T16 | 7 under (67-69-67) |
| Collin Morikawa | 23¢ / 24¢ | 78¢ / 80¢ | T16 | 7 under (64-67-72) |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 22¢ / 24¢ | 26¢ / 28¢ | T16 | 7 under (66-70-67) |
| Tom Kim | 18¢ / 20¢ | 28¢ / 31¢ | T16 | 7 under (67-68-68) |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 12¢ / 14¢ | 15¢ / 16¢ | T16 | 7 under (68-68-67) |
| Xander Schauffele | 9¢ / 10¢ | 18¢ / 19¢ | T22 | 5 under (67-71-67) |
| Ryan Fox | 5¢ / 7¢ | 23¢ / 27¢ | 21st | 6 under (66-68-70) |
| Gary Woodland | 5¢ / 6¢ | 37¢ / 38¢ | T22 | 5 under (66-68-71) |
| Patrick Cantlay | 3¢ / 4¢ | 11¢ / 13¢ | T25 | 4 under (68-70-68) |
| Akshay Bhatia | 3¢ / 4¢ | 28¢ / 31¢ | T22 | 5 under (65-69-71) |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 2¢ / 3¢ | 5¢ / 7¢ | T25 | 4 under (69-70-67) |
| Robert MacIntyre | 1¢ / 2¢ | 0¢ / 2¢ | T25 | 4 under (67-76-63) |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 0¢ / 1¢ | 4¢ / 5¢ | T28 | 3 under (70-69-68) |
| Alex Smalley | 0¢ / 1¢ | 24¢ / 27¢ | T28 | 3 under (67-68-72) |
| J.J. Spaun | Settled No | Settled No | WD | Withdrew Thursday |
Positions and scores per ESPN's leaderboard with Round 3 complete, as of August 30, 2026. Quotes are one Sunday-morning snapshot taken before the final round; the market has since settled.
Morikawa's row owns the board. Four other contracts lost 20 cents or more between Friday night and Sunday morning (Woodland, Bhatia, Smalley and Matt Fitzpatrick), but every one of them was already priced as a live question. Morikawa's was an 80-cent contract that had all but stopped asking, and it lost 56 cents in one round, the widest move this page recorded all week. He was also the most-traded name on the board, so more money had a position on his Saturday than on anyone else's.
What Morikawa's 72 Did To His Contract
The 72 looked worse next to the field than on the scorecard. The 29 players who finished Saturday averaged roughly 67.3 on East Lake's par 70, and only Alex Smalley matched Morikawa's number. He went to bed Friday tied for third, one shot off the lead. He woke up Sunday tied for 16th at 7 under, in a five-man logjam with Wyndham Clark, Tommy Fleetwood, Tom Kim and Alex Fitzpatrick, all priced between 12 and 25 cents.
The 24-cent price was a bet on several things going right at once. With 12 men at 9 under or better, Morikawa needed at least three of them to finish level with him or behind him, and anyone from the 8-under group who passed him added one more to clear. There was a precedent for that path on a no-cut finale in soft conditions: per ESPN's leaderboard, Corey Conners was tied for 16th after 54 holes at East Lake in 2025, shot 62 on Sunday and finished tied for fourth. It was also a bet that the field's worst round of Saturday was noise, and Kalshi's sibling boards agreed with the discount. Morikawa's winner contract had no bid at all, his top-5 contract was 4/5, and his top-20 contract still traded at 77/79: comfortably inside 20, probably outside 10.
McIlroy's 63 And The Tier That Came Back
On Friday this page filed McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay together as the wreckage tier, three of Thursday's most expensive contracts that each needed roughly the round Cameron Young had just shot. McIlroy shot it. His 63 was seven under par, shared the day's low round with Robert MacIntyre, and lifted him 16 places to a tie for seventh at 10 under. His contract went from 29/32 to 74/75 on the heaviest flow on the board.
The other two showed why a good round was not enough. Schauffele shot 67 and climbed to 5 under, but the line climbed from 7 under to 9 under at the same time. He gained one shot on it all day, and his contract still slipped to 9/10. Cantlay's 68 left him tied for 25th at 3/4. MacIntyre's own 63, the day after a 76, took his contract from a 2-cent ask to a 2-cent ask. On a board where the number keeps moving, a low round only pays if it is lower than the leaderboard's.
Why The Four Men On The Line Were Coin Flips
Sam Burns (54/57), Russell Henley (54/55), Min Woo Lee (42/44) and Jacob Bridgeman (42/43) were all tied for ninth at 9 under, all inside the window by the tie rule, and the market priced none of them above 57 cents. The arithmetic explains it. The field averaged about 2.7 under par per man on Saturday, so if Sunday played the same, the 10th-best score in the field would improve by roughly three shots. Last year's finale was the precedent: per ESPN, the 10th-place line at East Lake sat at 8 under after 54 holes and finished at 12 under. The four men on the line had to shoot about 3 under just to stay where they were.
The 12-cent gap between the Burns-Henley pair and the Lee-Bridgeman pair, four men on identical scores, was the same reputation premium this page had tracked since Thursday. It survived in one more place on the board: Ryan Fox sat alone in 21st at 6 under and traded at 5/7, while Schauffele, one shot worse, traded at 9/10.
One shot outside the window, Si Woo Kim (35/36), Matt Fitzpatrick (33/34) and Justin Rose (29/30) were the tier most exposed to the tie rule cutting the other way. If three of the 12 came back to 8 under, nine men would be strictly ahead of them and all three would cash. If only two slipped, none would. As Ben Rasa lays it out on our Putting for Dough show, top-finish markets pay consistency rather than ceiling, and on the final day that meant bogey avoidance: the contracts on and just outside the line belonged to whoever avoided the round Morikawa had just posted.
The Bottom Line
With 18 holes left, the market had already reduced the top-10 question to one number and two names. The top of the board was closed to a cent, the four men on the line were priced as toss-ups because the line was expected to move again, and the widest move of the week belonged to a man who had been an 80-cent favorite 36 hours earlier. The final leaderboard settled every contract that evening; this page records what the board believed before it did. For the picks-first read on Kalshi golf boards, start with the Kalshi golf picks hub.
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