A home run prop lives and dies on the number, so the price matters as much as the pick. Here are the bombs worth backing in New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians.
On the board for New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians: Francisco Lindor, Francisco Alvarez, Jose Ramirez, Chase DeLauter, Luis Robert, Jo Adell are the hitters priced to go deep, each with the best price and book across 20+ sportsbooks below.
The board ranks by market price, not by our conviction — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. The tailable plays from real experts sit below it, and the same prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another, so the OddsShopper home run odds screen is where to check the live number.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | +590 | NoVig | 14.5% | 34 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | +667 | Underdog 🎁 | 13.0% | 32 |
| Jose Ramirez (CHW) | +685 | Kalshi | 12.7% | 32 |
| Chase DeLauter (CLE) | +700 | Fanatics | 12.5% | 33 |
| Luis Robert (NYM) | +733 | NoVig | 12.0% | 31 |
| Jo Adell (CLE) | +755 | Kalshi | 11.7% | 5 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (CIN) | +800 | PointsBet | 11.1% | 33 |
| Angel Martinez (CLE) | +850 | Unibet | 10.5% | 28 |
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Which of these prices is actually +EV? OS Pro flags the edges on this exact board — free 7-day trial, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
The number that matters is the best price for the side you want, not who sits highest on the board — shortest odds means most likely to homer, not best value. Compare each price to the rest of the field on the OddsShopper home run odds screen; when one book is a notably longer number than the others, that is where the line-shopping value is.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- BGrebbs on Tails likes these plays:
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes Cleveland Guardians Moneyline (-115). Bet now
- MassMoneyline on Tails likes these plays:
- Under 7.5 Total Runs (-112) Bet now
- New York Mets Moneyline (-112) Bet now
- Bet Small Win Big on Tails (#6 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes 2-leg parlay on this game (+675). Bet now
- Stokastic MLB Prop Tool on Tails likes Petey Halpin Over 0.5 Total Batter Strikeouts (-162). Bet now → DraftKings
- MisterMarkot on Tails (#7 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Nolan McLean Under 5.5 Total Hits Allowed (-150). Bet now
- The Bet Baba on Tails likes Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-115). Bet now → Fanatics
- FullProofSportsBetting on Tails likes Under 0.5 Total Runs 1I (-133). Bet now
- MoneyBadgerJake on Tails likes New York Mets Under 7.5 Total Runs (+100).
- Prophet on Tails (#3 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Under 0.5 Total Runs 1I (-135). Bet now
More from these experts on New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians. Bet Small Win Big , BGrebbs, FullProofSportsBetting, MisterMarkot, MoneyBadgerJake, Prophet, Rebel Mickie, The Bet Baba post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox · Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners · Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles · Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves · Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals · Oakland Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs · Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
How to Bet Home Run Props the Smart Way
- Shop every book. The same home run prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. OddsShopper scans 20+ sportsbooks so you always take the best number — see the live home run board.
- Mind the price, not just the name. A great hitter at a short price can be worse value than a mid-tier bat the market is sleeping on. Compare the price to the field before you fire.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. The matchup matters far less than the price: OddsShopper reads the sharp sportsbooks that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays across every market at the click of a button — no hours of research, and no deep knowledge of the sport required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results, so you can see how the number has actually performed before you bet. Try OS Pro free for 7 days, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off your first payment: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians today? Francisco Lindor at +590 (NoVig) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play. What does “to hit a home run” mean? It's the over 0.5 home runs prop — the player hits at least one home run. The odds and best book vary by sportsbook, so compare before betting. Where can I shop New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians home run prop odds? OddsShopper's live home run board compares every sportsbook's price in real time so you always take the best number.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
