Guardians vs Rockies Today: First Pitch, Pitchers & Moneyline
First pitch Sat 8:10 PM ET. On the mound: Tanner Bibee (Guardians) vs Gabriel Hughes (Rockies). Moneyline: Guardians -135 (OnyxOdds) at Rockies +122 (OnyxOdds) — best prices across 8 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
The Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies board opens with Mickey Moniak at +337 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | +337 | Polymarket 🎁 | 22.9% | 36 |
| Jo Adell (CLE) | +416 | ProphetX | 19.4% | 35 |
| Willi Castro (COL) | +475 | Fanatics | 17.4% | 32 |
| Jose Ramirez (CHW) | +529 | Kalshi | 15.9% | 37 |
| Chase DeLauter (CLE) | +539 | Polymarket 🎁 | 15.6% | 35 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) | +539 | Polymarket 🎁 | 15.6% | 35 |
| Zac Veen (COL) | +559 | ProphetX | 15.2% | 31 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | +600 | Fanatics | 14.3% | 19 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 22, 2026 · 01:05 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Coors Field: park index 129.1 · wind 14 mph.
- Mickey Moniak (COL) — punishes four-seam fastballs 14% of the time, and that is 27% of what this starter throws · 26% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 16 PA against righties. (model confidence C)
- books: best +333 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +333
- José Ramírez (CLE) — 45% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind. (model confidence C)
- books: best +490 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +490
- Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) — 19% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 26 PA against righties. (model confidence C)
- books: best +475 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +466
- Angel Genao (CLE) — 34% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind. (model confidence C)
- books: best +715 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +715 · NoVig +669
- Willi Castro (COL) — 20% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +471 at NoVig | exchanges: ProphetX +461 · NoVig +471
- TJ Rumfield (COL) — 25% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 28 PA against righties · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +686 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +686 · NoVig +669
- Cole Carrigg (COL) — 29% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +686 at ProphetX | exchanges: Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +686
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — 20% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +733 at NoVig | exchanges: ProphetX +666 · NoVig +733
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- BGrebbs on Tails (#7 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes these plays:
- DFSnDonuts Picks on Tails (#2 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Over 0.5 Total Runs 1I (-126). Bet now → Kalshi
- JediModi on Tails likes Willi Castro Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+475). Bet now → Bet365
- KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS on Tails likes Cleveland Guardians Moneyline (-153). Bet now
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Total Bases (-135). Bet now
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes Braxton Fulford Over 1.5 Total Bases (+260). Bet now → HardRock
- Cobi O'Connell on Tails (#6 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+655). Bet now → DraftKings
- CDR Betting on Tails likes Colorado Rockies +1.5 Run Line (-118). Bet now
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes Tanner Gordon Under 14.5 Total Pitching Outs (+125).
More from these experts on Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies. BGrebbs, CDR Betting, Cobi O'Connell, DFSnDonuts Picks, JediModi, KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS, Rebel Mickie post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners · Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals · Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers · Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres · New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox · Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers · San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
