The Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers board opens with Shohei Ohtani at +334 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | +334 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 23.0% | 36 |
| Gary Sánchez (MIL) | +402 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 19.9% | 31 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | +440 | Circa | 18.5% | 35 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | +460 | Unibet | 17.9% | 13 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | +465 | Polymarket 🎁 | 17.7% | 31 |
| Max Muncy (OAK) | +488 | NoVig | 17.0% | 23 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | +510 | Unibet | 16.4% | 36 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | +534 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 15.8% | 35 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 15, 2026 · 03:00 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium: park index 117.4 · wind 6 mph.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — 19% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 6 mph · punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 66% of what this starter throws · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +333 at ProphetX | exchanges: Kalshi +331 · Polymarket +319 · ProphetX +333 · NoVig +326
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 63% of what this starter throws · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +700 at Bet365 | exchanges: Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +657 · NoVig +641
- Jake Bauers (MIL) — 18% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 6 mph · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +465 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +382 · NoVig +376
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 48% of what this starter throws · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +440 at Circa | exchanges: Polymarket +434 · ProphetX +412 · NoVig +388
- Max Muncy (LAD) — 36% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 6 mph · punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 66% of what this starter throws. (model confidence B)
- books: best +456 at DraftKings
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 48% of what this starter throws · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +506 at NoVig | exchanges: Polymarket +500 · ProphetX +490 · NoVig +506
- Andy Pages (LAD) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +608 at ProphetX | exchanges: Polymarket +584 · ProphetX +608 · NoVig +567
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) — 29% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 6 mph · punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 66% of what this starter throws · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +750 at Bet365 | exchanges: Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +666 · NoVig +700
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- SEvansBets on Tails likes Joseph Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+135). Bet now
- EMac on Tails likes Jacob Misiorowski Under 17.5 Total Pitching Outs (+156). Bet now → DraftKings
- MoneyBall Metrics on Tails likes Los Angeles Dodgers -0.5 Run Line 5I (-132). Bet now
- Gubabets on Tails (#9 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes these plays:
- MisterMarkot on Tails likes Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts (+113). Bet now
- Stokastic MLB Prop Tool on Tails likes these plays:
More from these experts on Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers. Gubabets, MisterMarkot, SEvansBets post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves · Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays · Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants · Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels · Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds · New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays · Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins · San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians · Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
