Junior Caminero (+402) and Pete Alonso (+429) lead tonight's Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays home run prices — the full board and the best number on each swing is below.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | +402 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 19.9% | 25 |
| Pete Alonso (BAL) | +429 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 18.9% | 24 |
| Coby Mayo (BAL) | +465 | Polymarket 🎁 | 17.7% | 22 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BAL) | +539 | Polymarket 🎁 | 15.6% | 24 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) | +550 | BetMGM 🎁 | 15.4% | 3 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (BAL) | +637 | Polymarket 🎁 | 13.6% | 23 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | +685 | Kalshi | 12.7% | 24 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | +685 | Kalshi | 12.7% | 25 |
New to DraftKings? New users can Bet $5+, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly.
Which of these prices is actually +EV? OS Pro flags the edges on this exact board — free 7-day trial, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
New to home run props? "To hit a home run" is the over 0.5 HR prop — your player homers at least once, any inning. The skill isn't picking the biggest name; it's taking the best price: the same prop can pay 100+ points more at one book than another. Our home run cheat sheet ranks tonight's best prices across every book.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Conormacpicks on Tails likes Over 8 Total Runs (-112).
- BGrebbs on Tails likes Baltimore Orioles Moneyline (+150). Bet now
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes these plays:
- Cobi O'Connell on Tails (#9 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+388). Bet now → DraftKings
- JediModi on Tails (#1 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+425). Bet now → TheScore
More from these experts on Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays. BGrebbs, Cobi O'Connell, Conormacpicks, JediModi post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves · Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers · Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants · Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels · Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds · Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers · New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays · Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins · San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays today? Junior Caminero at +402 (PolymarketUS) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
New to Polymarket? Code OS4 gets you a $20 trading bonus on a $10 deposit — affiliate link; terms as stated by Polymarket; 18+, availability varies by state.
Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
