A reverse or an end-around gets him into the end zone with the ball already in his hands — no corner to separate from, no window to fit a throw through. That's a second, independent trigger most of this board doesn't have, and it's live no matter what the coverage is doing to the passing game.
That's Deebo Samuel Sr. San Francisco brought him in this offseason specifically to get the ball in his hands on jet sweeps and end-arounds, not just as a receiver lined up outside — Brock Purdy throwing him the ball is the new part, the run-game usage isn't. It's why they wanted him.
| Market | Kalshi Yes bid/ask |
|---|---|
| Deebo Samuel Sr.: 1+ touchdowns | 19¢/20¢ |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2+ touchdowns | 2¢/3¢ |
That gap is the whole argument. The board's pricing the catch like it's likely and the run like it's noise — when the run is just the other way he already gets there, not a bonus stacked on top of the first.
Here's what that actually costs and pays. Buying 100 contracts of the 2+ line at the live 3¢ ask costs $3.00, plus a taker fee of about 21 cents — roughly $3.21 total — against a $100 payout if it hits. Neither leg is free money; fees and a thin book both eat into it. This is a read on price, not a lock.
Prices live as of Thursday, September 10, 2026, 12:28 PM ET. Kickoff is tonight — check the board again before it goes final.
Kalshi contracts are CFTC-regulated event derivatives, not sportsbook wagers, and can lose their full value. 18+. Available where Kalshi operates.
These are market prices, not predictions of fact and not financial or trading advice.
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