Prices as of Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 4:23 p.m. ET.
As of Tuesday, September 8, 2026: "no" on Jordan Love completing 21 or more passes on Sunday costs 52 cents on Kalshi, which is a 52% chance. Chris Olave catching seven or more costs 47, "no" on Quinshon Judkins carrying 17 or more times costs 56, Colston Loveland reaching 50 receiving yards costs 53, Cade Otton catching four or more costs 41, and "no" on Rashod Bateman catching three or more costs 67. Those are the six contracts on this page. Four of the six are markets the sportsbooks on the OddsShopper board do not price this week: completions and catches. Kalshi lists both, and for three of these players the catches were the market the argument fit all along.
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The Board
Kalshi in cents, yes bid / yes ask. The ask is what a buyer pays; "no" costs 100 minus the yes bid. Tuesday, September 8, 4:23 p.m. ET.
| Contract | Kalshi yes (bid / ask) | 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love 21+ completions | 48 / 50¢ ("no" costs 52¢) | 21+ in 4 of 15 games |
| Chris Olave 7+ receptions | 44 / 47¢ | 7+ in 7 of 16 |
| Quinshon Judkins 17+ rush attempts | 44 / 49¢ ("no" costs 56¢) | 17+ in 7 of 14 |
| Colston Loveland 50+ receiving yards | 51 / 53¢ | 50+ in 5 of 16 |
| Cade Otton 4+ receptions | 38 / 41¢ | 4+ in 8 of 15 |
| Rashod Bateman 3+ receptions | 33 / 38¢ ("no" costs 67¢) | 3+ in 1 of 13 |
Kalshi settles each contract on the player's final stat line for the game. All six games are Sunday: Packers at Vikings at 4:25 p.m. ET, Saints at Lions, Browns at Jaguars, Bears at Panthers, Buccaneers at Bengals and Ravens at Colts at 1 p.m. ET.
Jordan Love: No On 21+ Completions
Minnesota allowed 172.3 passing yards a game last season, fewest in the league, and a 62.6% completion rate, ninth-fewest. It sacked quarterbacks on 8.9% of dropbacks and hit them on 17.2%, both third-most, and Love under pressure averaged 5.0 yards per attempt with a 46.7 passer rating, worse than nineteen of every twenty starters. He completed 19.4 passes a game last year and 21 or more in 4 of 15; in the November meeting in Minnesota he went 14 of 21. Jonathan Greenard was traded, but Dallas Turner had eight sacks in ten starts behind him, and the Packers' line is the same group the Vikings beat calls a slight step backward. The books price his yards at 239.5 and carry no completions line; Kalshi's "no" on 21 or more settles yes if he completes 20 or fewer, and it costs 52 cents.
Jordan Love 21+ passing completions, no at 52 cents on Kalshi.
Chris Olave: 7+ Receptions
Detroit is the defense Olave's game is built for. The Lions played man on 32.0% of snaps last year, third-most in the league, and Olave was targeted on 31.4% of his routes against man, better than 94% of receivers. Detroit allowed 155.5 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, eighth-most, on 11.4 catches. The corners are worse than the ones who produced those numbers: Terrion Arnold was released in June, D.J. Reed missed six games last year, and Detroit was still auditioning the starter opposite Reed this week. Olave caught seven or more passes in 7 of 16 games last year, but Spencer Rattler was his quarterback for the first nine of them, and in the seven games with Shough starting he averaged 9.9 targets. The Saints are seven-point dogs, which is how a receiver gets 10 targets, and the contract that fits a target argument is the catches: seven at 47 cents.
Chris Olave 7+ receptions, yes at 47 cents on Kalshi.
Quinshon Judkins: No On 17+ Rush Attempts
Nobody ran on Jacksonville last year: the Jaguars allowed 70.8 rushing yards a game and 3.63 yards a carry, fewest and fourth-fewest in the league, and their opponents passed on 69.4% of their plays, the highest rate anyone faced, which is what offenses do when runs stop working. The four linemen who did it are all back: Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker on the edges, DaVon Hamilton and Arik Armstead inside, in Anthony Campanile's second year. Cleveland is an 8.5-point dog with a 40.5 total, and a trailing Todd Monken offense throws to Harold Fannin. Judkins is back from December ankle surgery as the lead back, and Dylan Sampson has the passing downs. Cleveland lost 14 games last year and still fed him 17 or more carries in half of his 14 games, but Sampson owns the third downs now and Jacksonville's front held backs to 3.7 a carry, the number that gets a run game shelved. Pinnacle posts 15.5 and charges -128 on the under. On Kalshi, "no" on 17 or more settles yes if he carries 16 times or fewer, and it costs 56 cents.
Quinshon Judkins 17+ rushing attempts, no at 56 cents on Kalshi.
Colston Loveland: 50+ Receiving Yards
Loveland's rookie season was two seasons. Through Week 14 he shared snaps with Cole Kmet and averaged five targets. From Week 15 on he played 65%, 83%, 82% and 91% of the snaps, saw 10 and 13 targets in the last two games, and went 63, 30, 94 and 91, an average of 69.5 against a contract at 50. He led the Bears with 58 catches for 713 yards, and Ben Johnson plays him and Kmet together so the defense can't guess run or pass. Carolina plays zone on 83.1% of its snaps, the most in the league, under Ejiro Evero in his fourth year, and against zone Loveland ran 1.93 yards per route and was targeted on 21.3% of his routes; the Panthers allowed 8.86 yards per target to tight ends, second-most in football. He reached 50 only five times in 16 games and Carolina added Devin Lloyd at linebacker to cover him, but the five came once he had a starter's snaps, Pinnacle charges -136 on the over at the book, and Bet365 has already moved its number to 53.5. Kalshi's 50 or more is half a yard under FanDuel's 50.5 at the same price.
Colston Loveland 50+ receiving yards, yes at 53 cents on Kalshi.
Cade Otton: 4+ Receptions
Cincinnati allowed 84.9 tight end receiving yards a game last year, the most in the league, on 9.7 targets and 6.8 catches. The people responsible are mostly still there: Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, the rookie linebackers who started after Logan Wilson was traded, start again, and the one change is Bryan Cook at safety, signed from Kansas City. Otton played 93.5% of Tampa Bay's snaps last year and drew 5.4 targets a game, and the targets around him opened up: Mike Evans took 7.8 a game in his eight games and is a 49er now, and Sterling Shepard's 4.1 are gone with him. Otton caught four or more passes in 8 of 15 games, 3.9 a game, and 465 of his yards in the coverage data came against zone. A target funnel is a catches bet before it is a yards bet; the books on the board have his yards at 28.5 and nothing on his catches, and Kalshi has four at 41 cents.
Cade Otton 4+ receptions, yes at 41 cents on Kalshi.
Rashod Bateman: No On 3+ Receptions
Baltimore threw on 47.3% of its neutral-situation snaps last year, second-lowest in the league, and when it threw, the ball went to Zay Flowers, who took 29.1% of the targets, and to Mark Andrews. Bateman was targeted on 12% of his routes and ran 0.70 yards per route, both near the bottom of the position; he caught two passes or fewer in 12 of 13 games, and the exception was five against Detroit in September. Indianapolis allowed the second-most receiving yards to wide receivers last year, but Sauce Gardner was hurt for much of it and Charvarius Ward played through a back, and both are practicing this week to take Flowers and whoever lines up across from him. Declan Doyle has used Bateman in the slot more this summer, but the targets he would need come out of Flowers' share in an offense that ran it 27.0 times a game, and rookie Ja'Kobi Lane is pushing for the three-receiver snaps. Kalshi's "no" on three or more settles yes at two catches or fewer, and it costs 67 cents to win 33.
Rashod Bateman 3+ receptions, no at 67 cents on Kalshi.
Bottom Line
No on Love at 21 completions, 52 cents, is the play I'd make first. Otton four or more catches at 41 is the target funnel priced as a catches contract, the way it should be. No on Judkins at 17 carries, 56 cents, is the one the sharp book agrees with. Loveland 50 or more at 53 is the half-yard the book doesn't give. Olave seven or more catches at 47 is where the coverage and the receiver fit. No on Bateman at three catches, 67 cents, asks the least of the player and the most of the price.
Follow Dave on X: @Loughy.
Hero illustration: OddsShopper, in the house collage style. Jordan Love photo by All-Pro Reels, licensed CC BY-SA 4.0; Quinshon Judkins photo by Erik Drost, licensed CC BY 4.0; photos cropped, toned, and composited.
Prices quoted are live Kalshi market prices as of Tuesday, September 8, 2026, and will keep moving until these markets settle after the September 13, 2026 games. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange (18+; availability varies by state). OddsShopper covers prediction markets as an independent analyst: any model or panel figures referenced are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial advice. Betting involves risk; contracts can go to zero. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
