Cardinals vs Phillies Today: First Pitch, Pitchers & Moneyline
First pitch Sun 1:35 PM ET. On the mound: Kyle Leahy (Cardinals) vs Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies). Moneyline: Cardinals +179 (Betcris) at Phillies -190 (PointsBet) — best prices across 8 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
The St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies board opens with Kyle Schwarber at +275 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | +275 | Bet365 | 26.7% | 38 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | +466 | ProphetX | 17.7% | 37 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) | +625 | Kalshi | 13.8% | 37 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | +669 | CryptoCom | 13.0% | 1 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | +685 | Kalshi | 12.7% | 37 |
| Joshua Baez (STL) | +691 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 12.6% | 32 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | +750 | Bet365 | 11.8% | 5 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PHI) | +755 | Kalshi | 11.7% | 29 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 23, 2026 · 01:05 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Citizens Bank Park: park index 125.1 · wind 8 mph.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — punishes four-seam fastballs 15% of the time, and that is 27% of what this starter throws · 28% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips. (model confidence A)
- books: best +271 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +271 · ProphetX +260
- Bryce Harper (PHI) — 16% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 19 PA against righties · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence A)
- books: best +466 at ProphetX | exchanges: Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +466
- Alec Burleson (STL) — 21% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence A)
- books: best +841 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +841 · Polymarket +770 · ProphetX +774
- Jordan Walker (STL) — homers every 23 PA against lefties · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence A)
- books: best +625 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +625 · Polymarket +539 · ProphetX +539
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) — punishes sliders 14% of the time, and that is 36% of what this starter throws · 13% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips. (model confidence A)
- books: best +1200 at Fanatics | exchanges: Kalshi +1074 · Polymarket +963 · ProphetX +902 · NoVig +900
- Joshua Báez (STL) — 31% of his damage flies pull-side · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +685 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +685 · Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +647 · NoVig +641
- Brandon Marsh (PHI) — 18% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 31 PA against righties. (model confidence A)
- books: best +755 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +755 · Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +647
- Iván Herrera (STL) — homers every 21 PA against lefties · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence A)
- books: best +944 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +944 · Polymarket +857 · ProphetX +862
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners · Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies · Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals · Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers · Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres · New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox · Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
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