Who scores a touchdown in Commanders-Eagles, and where is the price right? Kalshi's most likely scorer is Saquon Barkley at 51¢ to score at least once, and the best sportsbook wants -115 for the same touchdown (Circa, 53¢ implied). The gap worth acting on runs the exchange's way: Saquon Barkley is 51¢ on Kalshi against 53¢ implied at the best book, 2 cents apart. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff and a name on that list moves every price on this page. The full board, the first-touchdown market and the designations are below.
Kalshi prices as of Sunday, September 13, 2026, 10:20 a.m. ET; sportsbook prices pulled 10:31 a.m. ET from OddsShopper's live odds feed.
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The Board: Every Likely Scorer, Two Prices
Who scored: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (36¢ Sunday morning), Dallas Goedert (29¢ Sunday morning), Dontayvion Wicks (21¢ Sunday morning), Stefon Diggs (18¢ Sunday morning), Antonio Williams (7¢ Sunday morning). Those 1+ contracts paid $1; every other name on the board settled at $0. The Sunday-morning price sits next to each scorer so the board above can be read as a graded card.
Kalshi's ask is the market's probability in cents; Gap is the best US sportsbook's implied price minus that ask, so a positive gap means Kalshi is cheaper. Sims columns are the Stokastic Sims' projected DraftKings points and field ownership. The busiest contract in the game is Saquon Barkley, 9,625 contracts in the last 24 hours.
| Player | Team | Kalshi 1+ (bid / ask) | Best sportsbook | Implied | Gap | Sims proj. | Sims own. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | 50¢ / 51¢ | -115 (Circa) | 53¢ | +2 | 17.9 | 14% |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | 40¢ / 41¢ | +130 (OnyxOdds) | 43¢ | +2 | 20.8 | 7% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 35¢ / 36¢ | +175 (Fanatics) | 36¢ | 0 | 9.6 | 1% |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | 32¢ / 33¢ | +190 (Fanatics) | 34¢ | +1 | 15.3 | 8% |
| Dallas Goedert | PHI | 28¢ / 29¢ | +220 (Fanatics) | 31¢ | +2 | 10.1 | 6% |
| Rachaad White | WAS | 25¢ / 26¢ | +265 (Fanatics) | 27¢ | +1 | 8.8 | 0% |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | 24¢ / 25¢ | +285 (DraftKings) | 26¢ | +1 | 11.9 | 4% |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | 23¢ / 24¢ | +280 (OnyxOdds) | 26¢ | +2 | 17.9 | 1% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | 20¢ / 21¢ | +350 (Bet365) | 22¢ | +1 | 7.4 | 2% |
| Stefon Diggs | WAS | 17¢ / 18¢ | +420 (Fanatics) | 19¢ | +1 | 9.9 | 2% |
| Tank Bigsby | PHI | 14¢ / 17¢ | +500 (Bet365) | 17¢ | -0 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Makai Lemon | PHI | 16¢ / 17¢ | +450 (Fanatics) | 18¢ | +1 | 6.4 | 1% |
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Kalshi Or The Book
Where Kalshi sells the touchdown cheaper than the best book: Saquon Barkley (51¢ vs 53¢ at Circa), Jalen Hurts (41¢ vs 43¢ at OnyxOdds), Dallas Goedert (29¢ vs 31¢ at Fanatics), Jayden Daniels (24¢ vs 26¢ at OnyxOdds) and DeVonta Smith (33¢ vs 34¢ at Fanatics).
Kalshi is at least as cheap as the best book on every name; Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Terry McLaurin and Tank Bigsby are the only prices that tie.
The reason the two sides disagree is fees and shape, not information. A sportsbook builds its margin into every anytime price; Kalshi's contract trades between users with a taker fee on top, so on a favorite the exchange usually shows the lower number and on a longshot the book sometimes does. Shop both before you take either.
First Touchdown
Settled: Dallas Goedert scored the first touchdown. The contract paid $1; it traded at 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask on Sunday morning. Every other first-TD contract in the game settled at $0.
Kalshi's first-touchdown market is thinner than the anytime board and the spreads are wider, so read the ask as the price you pay, not a probability. Saquon Barkley leads it at 17¢. First-touchdown searches spike at kickoff and again the moment someone scores; this table is what the market thought before the first snap.
| Player | Kalshi first TD (bid / ask) | 24h contracts | Best sportsbook first TD | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | 16¢ / 17¢ | 3,041 | +550 (PointsBet) | 15¢ | -2 |
| Jalen Hurts | 10¢ / 11¢ | 1,114 | +800 (PointsBet) | 11¢ | 0 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 8¢ / 9¢ | 84 | +900 (FanDuel) | 10¢ | +1 |
| Dallas Goedert | 7¢ / 8¢ | 3,601 | +1250 (Circa) | 7¢ | -1 |
| DeVonta Smith | 6¢ / 7¢ | 1,033 | +1000 (BetRivers) | 9¢ | +2 |
| Rachaad White | 5¢ / 6¢ | 207 | +1600 (Circa) | 6¢ | -0 |
| Terry McLaurin | 4¢ / 6¢ | 743 | +1600 (Circa) | 6¢ | -0 |
| Jayden Daniels | 4¢ / 6¢ | 625 | +1400 (OnyxOdds) | 7¢ | +1 |
Designations
Out or doubtful: Jonathan Greenard (PHI LB) and Deatrich Wise Jr. (WSH DE). Questionable: no one. Designations as carried by ESPN's game page at 8:47 a.m. ET; injured reserve not listed. Inactives post 90 minutes before kickoff, and a name on this list moves every price above it.
My Take
If I had to hold one contract from this board it is Saquon Barkley on Kalshi at 51¢. The best sportsbook prices the same touchdown at 53¢ implied, so the exchange is the cheaper door by 2 cents, and the Sims give him 17.9 DraftKings points at 14% projected ownership, which is a real role, not a hope. The case against is the same as always with touchdown props: one goal-line carry to someone else and the contract is worth nothing. Size it like a lottery ticket with a good number, not a lock.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- SEvansBets on Tails likes Saquon Barkley Over 76.5 Total Rushing Yards (-112). Bet now → DraftKings
- WallStBetsVegas on Tails likes Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 Point Spread (-141). Bet now → NoVig
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes Makai Lemon Over 22.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115). Bet now → Polymarket
- PrizePick Champions on Tails (#2 on the NFL Most Profit leaderboard) likes Washington Commanders +5.5 Point Spread (+102). Bet now → NoVig
More from these experts on Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles. SEvansBets, WallStBetsVegas post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Following the league day to day? The NFL training camp report tracks every team's news that moves these boards, and the live NFL odds screen carries every market for this game beyond touchdowns.
More Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts · Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans · Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers · Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders · New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions.
Odds move quickly and every number here is stamped above. Shop live prices on OddsShopper.
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