The Giants are at home with the better record, and I still lean Arizona in a game that stays close and never turns into a shootout. That read decides which legs belong on a same game parlay, so I set the score before I picked anything.
I typed my score into the free Kalshi Parlay Simulator, which builds three-leg combos for the score you pick and prices them from 10,000 Stokastic Sims. Then I flipped it to see what a Giants win looks like.
Arizona Edges It
Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at New York Giants (2-1) Sunday, October 4 · 1:00 p.m. ET · MetLife Stadium · CBS Stokastic Sims: Cardinals win 52%
The sims have this close to a coin flip, with Arizona slightly ahead. Neither team has anyone listed on the injury report.
Winston Stays Quiet
| Leg | Side | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| NYG wins by 7+ | NO | 76¢ (-317) |
| Over 49.5 total points | NO | 65¢ (-186) |
| Jameis Winston 2+ passing TDs | NO | 65¢ (-186) |
| Sims price | Kalshi legs | Near ARI 23-21 |
|---|---|---|
| 36.0¢ (+178) | 32.1¢ (+211) | 61% |
These legs move together because a Giants offense that doesn't get two touchdown passes from Winston rarely scores enough to push the total over or run away with the game. It also cashes in a Giants win by six or less, so I don't need my side to be right.
Giants Squeak By
| Leg | Side | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| ARI wins by 7+ | NO | 67¢ (-203) |
| Over 49.5 total points | NO | 65¢ (-186) |
| Jeremiyah Love 80+ rushing yards | NO | 64¢ (-178) |
| Sims price | Kalshi legs | Near NYG 24-21 |
|---|---|---|
| 33.8¢ (+196) | 27.9¢ (+259) | 65% |
Same low total, other sideline. When Love stays short of 80, Arizona doesn't pull away, and this card doesn't even need a Giants win.
Build It Yourself
- Open ARI @ NYG in the Kalshi Parlay Simulator.
- Type your final score into Pick Your Game Script.
- Set legs to 3 and read the cards. Play the ones where the Sims Price is above the Kalshi number, skip any where the Kalshi number is higher, and check Current Script for how often it hits if your score is right.
My Two Tickets
- Cardinals 23-21 (36.0¢ sims): NO on NYG wins by 7+, NO on Over 49.5 total points, NO on Jameis Winston 2+ passing TDs.
- Giants 24-21 (33.8¢ sims): NO on ARI wins by 7+, NO on Over 49.5 total points, NO on Jeremiyah Love 80+ rushing yards.
Prices are from 8 a.m. ET on game day and move until kickoff. The simulator is free, so type your own Cardinals-Giants score and see what it builds.
Stokastic Sims are estimates, not guarantees.
More on this: Broncos vs 49ers Same Game Parlay: Bo Nix Under 250 · Chargers vs Seahawks Same Game Parlay: Darnold Stays Quiet · Dolphins vs Vikings Same Game Parlay: Gordon Held Under 30 · Jaguars vs Bengals Same Game Parlay: Tuten Under 70 · Jets vs Bears Same Game Parlay: Monangai Runs For 30
