Reds vs Giants Today: First Pitch, Pitchers & Moneyline
First pitch Mon 9:45 PM ET. On the mound: Chase Burns (Reds) vs Carson Whisenhunt (Giants). Moneyline: Reds -131 (Betcris) at Giants +130 (Bovada) — best prices across 21 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
Sal Stewart (+584) and Rafael Devers (+631) lead tonight's Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants home run prices — the full board and the best number on each swing is below.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | +584 | Polymarket 🎁 | 14.6% | 36 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | +631 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 13.7% | 37 |
| Eugenio Suárez (CIN) | +631 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 13.7% | 35 |
| Bryce Eldridge (SF) | +700 | Fanatics | 12.5% | 26 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | +750 | Circa | 11.8% | 14 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | +755 | Kalshi | 11.7% | 37 |
| Tim Tawa (ARI) | +760 | BookMaker | 11.6% | 1 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | +800 | Fanatics | 11.1% | 36 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 24, 2026 · 03:45 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Oracle Park: park index 69.9 · wind 11 mph.
- Rafael Devers (SF) — 18% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 19 PA against righties · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +650 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +539 · ProphetX +578
- Sal Stewart (CIN) — punishes four-seam fastballs 15% of the time, and that is 31% of what this starter throws · 17% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +568 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +568
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — 14% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · homers every 24 PA against lefties · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +733 at NoVig | exchanges: Polymarket +637 · NoVig +733
- Eugenio Suárez (CIN) — 33% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +584 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +584 · NoVig +567
- Osleivis Basabe (SF) — 36% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1500 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +1176
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — 31% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +800 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +755
- Tyler Stephenson (CIN) — punishes four-seam fastballs 16% of the time, and that is 31% of what this starter throws · 16% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +800 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +747 · ProphetX +755
- Héctor Rodríguez (CIN) — 34% of his damage flies pull-side, into tonight's wind — but cold air at 58°. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1400 at Fanatics
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes Drew Cavanaugh Over 1.5 Total Batter Strikeouts (+212). Bet now → NoVig
- SEvansBets on Tails likes Chase Burns Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts (+111). Bet now
More from these experts on Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants. SEvansBets posts full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins · Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels · Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals · Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics · Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners · Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres · Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers · Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
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