Rockies vs Nationals Today: First Pitch, Pitchers & Moneyline
First pitch Mon 6:45 PM ET. On the mound: Ryan Feltner (Rockies) vs Cade Cavalli (Nationals). Moneyline: Rockies +170 (HardRock) at Nationals -180 (HardRock) — best prices across 16 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
The Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals board opens with CJ Abrams at +465 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WSH) | +465 | Polymarket 🎁 | 17.7% | 24 |
| Andres Chaparro (WSH) | +545 | NoVig | 15.5% | 6 |
| Dylan Crews (WSH) | +579 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 14.7% | 37 |
| Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) | +631 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 13.7% | 33 |
| Daylen Lile (WSH) | +637 | Polymarket 🎁 | 13.6% | 37 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | +637 | Polymarket 🎁 | 13.6% | 37 |
| Jose Tena (WSH) | +700 | Bet365 | 12.5% | 5 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WSH) | +763 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 11.6% | 35 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 24, 2026 · 03:45 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Nationals Park: park index 115.0 · wind 8 mph.
- Mickey Moniak (COL) — punishes four-seam fastballs 14% of the time, and that is 32% of what this starter throws · homers every 15 PA against righties · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence A)
- books: best +584 at Polymarket | exchanges: Kalshi +573 · Polymarket +584 · ProphetX +480
- Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence C)
- books: best +550 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +539 · ProphetX +529
- CJ Abrams (WSH) — homers every 22 PA against righties · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence A)
- books: best +465 at Polymarket | exchanges: Kalshi +331 · Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +382
- Willi Castro (COL) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence A)
- books: best +800 at Fanatics | exchanges: Kalshi +685 · Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +764 · NoVig +733
- Brett Sullivan (COL) — 45% of his damage flies pull-side · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +804 at ProphetX | exchanges: Kalshi +685 · Polymarket +698 · ProphetX +804 · NoVig +770
- Zac Veen (COL) — 35% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1011 at NoVig | exchanges: Kalshi +573 · Polymarket +963 · ProphetX +843 · NoVig +1011
- Daylen Lile (WSH) — homers every 33 PA against righties. (model confidence A)
- books: best +637 at Polymarket | exchanges: Kalshi +625 · Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +549 · NoVig +590
- Dylan Crews (WSH) — no edge in the conditions — hitting into a 6 mph wind. (model confidence A)
- books: best +625 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +625 · Polymarket +500 · ProphetX +490 · NoVig +506
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- ShanderBets on Tails likes Zac Veen Under 0.5 Total Hits (-115). Bet now
- DFSnDonuts Picks on Tails likes these plays:
- PrizePick Champions on Tails likes Over 8.0 Total Runs (-107).
- JmetalK on Tails likes Ryan Feltner Under 3.5 Total Strikeouts (+127). Bet now
More from these experts on Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals. DFSnDonuts Picks, JmetalK post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins · Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants · Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels · Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics · Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners · Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres · Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers · Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
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